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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | 100% | +70 pts | +67 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Italy | 0% | −42 pts | −41 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Draw (Italy vs. Belgium) | 0% | −27 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28d | rollobravado | Italy | SellNo>99¢ | $1,105 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 28d | friedchickie | Belgium | SellYes>99¢ | $2,220 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 28d | LuckyGary | Belgium | SellYes>99¢ | $3,226 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 28d | HBS1990 | Belgium | SellYes>99¢ | $1,210 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 28d |  sanazz | Italy | SellNo>99¢ | $1,252 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 28d | 50ShadesofGrey2 fills | Belgium | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,294 | +$59 +0.3% | 4 |
| 28d | Flaznorp9 fills | Belgium | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $15,770 | +$6,899 +44% | 4 |
| 28d | olpy | Belgium | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,644 | +$27 +1.0% | 4 |
| 28d | Flaznorp2 fills | Italy | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,272 | +$327 +10% | 4 |
| 28d | UpTheBlues | Draw (Italy vs. Belgium) | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,311 | +$96 +4.2% | 4 |
| 28d | Fvalp | Belgium | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,119 | +$255 +4.2% | 4 |
| 28d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Belgium | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,905 | +$118 +6.2% | 4 |
| 28d | 50ShadesofGrey2 fills | Italy | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,097 | +$70 +1.2% | 4 |
| 28d | sanazz | Italy | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,250 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 28d | ehmK3 fills | Belgium | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,801 | +$299 +7.9% | 4 |
| 28d |  eskillo | Belgium | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | −$110 −9.9% | — |
| 28d | HBS1990 | Belgium | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | +$97 +8.7% | 4 |
| 28d | friedchickie | Belgium | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$222 +11% | 4 |
| 28d |  RN1 | Draw (Italy vs. Belgium) | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $6,062 | +$2,182 +36% | 4 |
| 28d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing2 fills | Belgium | SellYes62¢ → 100¢ | $2,919 | −$1,792 −61% | — |
| 28d | neutralwave23 | Belgium | SellYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,835 | −$1,223 −67% | — |
| 28d |  tiger105 | Belgium | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $11,120 | +$6,114 +55% | 4 |
| 28d | Woohx | Belgium | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | +$660 +56% | 4 |
| 28d | n.maga | Belgium | SellYes64¢ → 100¢ | $2,832 | −$1,593 −56% | — |
| 28d | n.maga2 fills | Italy | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $3,931 | −$1,332 −34% | — |
| 28d | GoalLineGhost | Belgium | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,346 | +$757 +56% | 4 |
| 28d | n.maga2 fills | Belgium | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $2,454 | +$1,381 +56% | 4 |
| 28d | UpTheBlues4 fills | Belgium | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $12,521 | −$12,521 −100% | 14 |
| 28d | Hoch | Italy | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$353 +18% | 4 |
| 28d | LuckyGary | Belgium | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,970 | +$1,259 +64% | 4 |
| 28d | afraz | Belgium | SellYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | −$699 −67% | — |
| 28d | n.maga3 fills | Italy | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $5,253 | +$2,776 +53% | 4 |
| 28d | 0x4444…aa0a | Belgium | BuyYes34¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,941 +194% | 4 |
| 28d | namasana | Draw (Italy vs. Belgium) | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,019 | −$1,019 −100% | 4 |
| 28d | Flaznorp3 fills | Belgium | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $4,710 | −$4,710 −100% | 14 |
| 28d |  432153253235 | Belgium | BuyYes31¢ → 100¢ | $2,314 | +$5,150 +223% | 4 |
| 28d | oldpig | Italy | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 4 |
| 28d | ric88888 | Draw (Italy vs. Belgium) | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,674 | −$1,674 −100% | 4 |
| 28d | Feromont | Italy | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $9,193 | −$9,193 −100% | 14 |
| 28d | sport-intelligence | Italy | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 14 |
| 28d | itb08081982 | Italy | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 28d | Zzzz872 fills | Italy | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $3,922 | −$3,922 −100% | 14 |
| 28d | 0xc3ed…9f79 | Italy | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 28d | Bloodygoodrep1 | Italy | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $15,472 | +$11,672 +75% | 14 |
| 28d | omnibus-076daa | Italy | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $3,998 | +$3,142 +79% | 14 |
| 28d | kindar2 fills | Italy | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $50,000 | −$50,000 −100% | 14 |
| 28d | cookhypee | Belgium | BuyYes30¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$3,500 +233% | 14 |
| 28d | UpTheBlues8 fills | Italy | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $10,682 | −$10,682 −100% | 14 |
| 28d | Flaznorp | Italy | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $6,095 | −$6,095 −100% | 14 |
| 28d | suntori | Italy | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $1,181 | +$855 +72% | 14 |
| 29d |  Elenes | Belgium | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $9,250 | −$9,250 −100% | 12 |
Elenes13,035 shares
us3916,871 sharesThis event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Friday, September 25, 2026 between Italy and Belgium.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Belgium means the market gives it about 100%.