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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iceland | 100% | +56 pts | +59 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Luxembourg | 0% | −28 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Draw (Luxembourg vs. Iceland) | 0% | −29 pts | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24d | Weepy-Swordfish | Iceland | SellYes>99¢ | $3,277 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 24d | madkkee | Luxembourg | SellNo>99¢ | $10,318 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 24d | Oval-Prophet | Iceland | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | −$47 −4.2% | — |
| 24d | peods1997 | Luxembourg | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | −$129 −9.9% | — |
| 24d |  RN1 | Luxembourg | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,748 | +$272 +9.9% | 4 |
| 24d | zhuz632 | Iceland | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$5,500 +122% | 14 |
| 24d | GoalLineGhost | Draw (Luxembourg vs. Iceland) | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,453 | +$594 +41% | 14 |
| 24d | Flaznorp | Luxembourg | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | +$447 +39% | 13 |
| 24d | GoalLineGhost | Luxembourg | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,864 | +$725 +39% | 13 |
| 24d | GoalLineGhost2 fills | Iceland | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $2,349 | +$3,114 +133% | 14 |
| 24d |  VeryLucky8882 fills | Iceland | SellNo57¢ → 0¢ | $2,280 | +$2,280 +100% | — |
| 24d | optimusprime77787918 fills | Iceland | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $73,898 | +$96,097 +130% | 14 |
| 24d | UpTheBlues | Iceland | BuyNo57¢ → 0¢ | $1,192 | −$1,192 −100% | 14 |
| 24d | fhfdj541459 | Iceland | BuyYes42¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$4,143 +138% | 14 |
| 24d | UpTheBlues | Luxembourg | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $5,335 | +$2,287 +43% | 14 |
| 24d | Woohx | Luxembourg | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | +$800 +45% | 14 |
| 24d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Iceland | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $1,181 | −$1,181 −100% | 14 |
| 24d | AGUGava2 fills | Draw (Luxembourg vs. Iceland) | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 12 |
| 24d | AGUGava2 fills | Luxembourg | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $2,950 | −$2,950 −100% | 12 |
| 24d | Light-Familiarity | Luxembourg | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 14 |
| 24d |  ComingBack | Iceland | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 24d | madkkee | Luxembourg | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $7,333 | +$2,995 +41% | 14 |
| 25d | qq31530492 fills | Luxembourg | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $6,953 | −$6,953 −100% | 12 |
us39117,717 sharesThis event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Tuesday, September 29, 2026 between Luxembourg and Iceland.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Iceland means the market gives it about 100%.