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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (Northern Ireland vs. Georgia) | 100% | +68 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Northern Ireland | 0% | −40 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Georgia | 0% | −28 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d | Yawning-Chicken | Georgia | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,111 | +$94 +4.5% | 4 |
| 18d | Piercing-Strip-Rust | Draw (Northern Ireland vs. Georgia) | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,170 | +$545 +25% | 4 |
| 18d | Flaznorp | Northern Ireland | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,382 | −$1,382 −100% | 4 |
| 18d | Flaznorp4 fills | Georgia | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $21,505 | +$6,097 +28% | 10 |
| 18d | Yawning-Chicken2 fills | Northern Ireland | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $5,941 | +$3,899 +66% | 4 |
| 18d | Flaznorp2 fills | Northern Ireland | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $2,659 | +$1,149 +43% | 4 |
| 18d |  6kke1t4 fills | Northern Ireland | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $6,878 | −$6,878 −100% | 4 |
| 18d | sport-intelligence2 fills | Northern Ireland | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $8,000 | −$8,000 −100% | 14 |
| 18d | 6kke1t | Northern Ireland | SellYes37¢ → 0¢ | $1,242 | +$1,242 +100% | — |
| 18d | Substantial-Service | Northern Ireland | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,807 | −$1,807 −100% | 4 |
| 18d | Substantial-Service | Northern Ireland | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $9,019 | +$5,766 +64% | 4 |
| 18d | J43u54y325 | Georgia | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 14 |
| 18d | Zzzz87 | Georgia | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,848 | −$1,848 −100% | 14 |
| 18d | Ghost290 | Northern Ireland | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 18d | Sociable-Manager | Northern Ireland | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | +$820 +69% | 14 |
| 18d | omnibus-076daa | Northern Ireland | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,902 | −$1,902 −100% | 14 |
| 18d | Zzzz87 | Northern Ireland | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $6,724 | −$6,724 −100% | 14 |
| 18d | GoalLineGhost | Georgia | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,430 | +$584 +41% | 12 |
| 18d | Earnest-Law | Northern Ireland | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $1,398 | −$1,398 −100% | 12 |
| 18d |  ComingBack | Northern Ireland | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$613 +61% | 12 |
| 18d | MaciBetting23 | Northern Ireland | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$895 +64% | 12 |
| 18d |  us391 | Northern Ireland | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,217 | +$812 +67% | 12 |
| 19d | sportlikely | Northern Ireland | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 12 |
BepiJr584 sharesThis event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between Northern Ireland and Georgia.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Draw (Northern Ireland vs. Georgia) means the market gives it about 100%.