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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poland | 100% | +37 pts | +45 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Draw (Poland vs. Romania) | 0% | −22 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Romania | 0% | −14 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21d | Yawning-Chicken | Poland | SellYes>99¢ | $4,072 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | Vengeful-Interior | Poland | SellYes>99¢ | $1,238 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | goldisoverrated | Poland | SellYes>99¢ | $2,379 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | EdgeBot1 | Poland | SellYes>99¢ | $1,514 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | Costly-Compass-Monitor | Poland | SellYes>99¢ | $1,570 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | Momo63 | Romania | SellNo>99¢ | $20,140 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | yenLord | Poland | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,492 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 21d | Momo63 | Poland | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,928 | +$90 +1.0% | 4 |
| 21d | steffun | Romania | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,210 | −$16 −1.3% | — |
| 21d | Hoch | Draw (Poland vs. Romania) | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$185 +3.7% | 4 |
| 21d | Momo63 | Romania | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,541 | +$46 +1.0% | 4 |
| 21d | Poland | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$327 +6.5% | 4 | |
| 21d | Poland | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | −$87 −8.7% | — | |
| 21d | Poland | SellNo8¢ → 0¢ | $1,136 | +$1,136 +100% | — | |
| 21d | 0xf584…3979 | Poland | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,926 | +$543 +28% | 4 |
| 21d | SharkVision2 fills | Poland | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,869 | +$607 +21% | 4 |
| 21d | goldisoverrated | Poland | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$882 +59% | 4 |
| 21d | UpTheBlues | Poland | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $2,890 | +$1,698 +59% | 14 |
| 21d | GoalLineGhost | Poland | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,594 | +$977 +61% | 14 |
| 21d | GoalLineGhost | Poland | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $1,045 | −$1,045 −100% | 14 |
| 22d | shaw | Poland | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $3,780 | +$2,220 +59% | 14 |
| 22d | steffun | Romania | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | +$196 +19% | 9 |
| 22d | cookhypee | Poland | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,575 | +$925 +59% | 14 |
| 22d | Zzzz87 | Poland | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $3,568 | +$2,095 +59% | 12 |
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Friday, October 2, 2026 between Poland and Romania.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Poland means the market gives it about 100%.