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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 100% | +64 pts | +72 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Türkiye | 0% | −37 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Draw (Türkiye vs. Italy) | 0% | −27 pts | −37 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25d | sk6200 | Italy | SellYes>99¢ | $3,285 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | Liverpool1 | Italy | SellYes>99¢ | $2,152 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 25d |  PredictionEater | Italy | SellYes>99¢ | $1,020 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | caesarswill | Italy | SellYes>99¢ | $1,004 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | yupiiiiiiiii2 fills | Italy | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,313 | +$17 +0.1% | 4 |
| 25d | 4everyoung3 fills | Draw (Türkiye vs. Italy) | BuyNo>99¢ | $88,076 | +$409 +0.5% | 4 |
| 25d | Flaznorp3 fills | Draw (Türkiye vs. Italy) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,399 | +$110 +0.7% | 4 |
| 25d | UpTheBlues4 fills | Draw (Türkiye vs. Italy) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,285 | +$83 +1.3% | 4 |
| 25d | andtheoscargoesto2 | Italy | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,317 | +$44 +1.0% | 4 |
| 25d | Flaznorp15 fills | Türkiye | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $65,458 | +$4,219 +6.4% | 6 |
| 25d | olpy | Italy | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,637 | +$17 +1.0% | 4 |
| 25d |  soylentgoy | Türkiye | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 25d | GoalLineGhost4 fills | Italy | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $9,554 | +$414 +4.3% | 4 |
| 25d | SharkVision | Italy | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,673 | +$114 +3.1% | 4 |
| 25d | Yawning-Chicken | Italy | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,798 | +$291 +4.3% | 4 |
| 25d | sk62002 fills | Italy | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,423 | +$723 +30% | 4 |
| 25d | Decisive-Cheek | Türkiye | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,191 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 25d | UpTheBlues12 fills | Italy | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $26,265 | +$27,317 +104% | 14 |
| 25d | Flaznorp15 fills | Italy | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $32,722 | +$14,406 +44% | 14 |
| 25d | UpTheBlues31 fills | Türkiye | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $89,498 | +$9,757 +11% | 7 |
| 25d | oudine2 | Italy | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,908 | +$92 +2.4% | 4 |
| 25d | youcanbuythisbot | Italy | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | +$26 +2.4% | 4 |
| 25d | yenLord2 fills | Türkiye | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,902 | +$16 +0.6% | 4 |
| 25d | JoeytheReal | Türkiye | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,459 | −$12 −0.8% | — |
| 25d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing2 fills | Italy | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $3,155 | +$2,306 +73% | 14 |
| 25d |  onri | Italy | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$208 +4.2% | 4 |
| 25d | Growing-Toughguy | Italy | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,388 | −$231 −5.3% | — |
| 25d |  Passionate-Minorleague | Italy | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$326 +16% | 4 |
| 25d | Hoch | Türkiye | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$216 +3.1% | 4 |
| 25d | drop1234 | Italy | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | −$224 −20% | — |
| 25d | Grandiose-Accountant-Stallion | Italy | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $2,300 | −$2,300 −100% | 4 |
| 25d | UnitedAmbro | Italy | BuyYes41¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,414 +141% | 4 |
| 25d | Challenger.777 | Draw (Türkiye vs. Italy) | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,150 | −$1,150 −100% | 4 |
| 25d | ric88888 | Draw (Türkiye vs. Italy) | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,862 | −$1,862 −100% | 4 |
| 25d | RichSK | Italy | SellNo61¢ → 0¢ | $1,213 | +$1,213 +100% | — |
| 25d | tes21sa2 fills | Draw (Türkiye vs. Italy) | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $64,101 | −$64,101 −100% | 14 |
| 25d | namasana | Italy | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $5,200 | +$7,800 +150% | 14 |
| 25d | CaptainColby | Türkiye | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $2,250 | +$1,059 +47% | 14 |
| 25d | namasana | Draw (Türkiye vs. Italy) | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $8,700 | −$8,700 −100% | 14 |
| 25d | neutralwave23 | Italy | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $1,842 | +$2,858 +155% | 14 |
| 25d | JoeytheReal | Türkiye | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$471 +47% | 14 |
| 25d | optimusprime7778799 fills | Italy | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $66,071 | −$66,071 −100% | 14 |
| 25d | Cannae | Türkiye | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $4,528 | +$2,230 +49% | 14 |
| 25d |  RN14 fills | Türkiye | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $5,644 | +$2,836 +50% | 14 |
| 25d | optimusprime7778796 fills | Türkiye | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $30,583 | −$30,583 −100% | 14 |
| 25d | BichoTrader | Draw (Türkiye vs. Italy) | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $5,400 | +$2,100 +39% | 13 |
| 25d | davisqq | Türkiye | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,149 | +$619 +54% | 14 |
| 25d | thatguythatguy3 fills | Italy | BuyYes38¢ → 100¢ | $7,911 | +$12,720 +161% | 12 |
| 25d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Italy | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $1,181 | −$1,181 −100% | 14 |
| 25d |  KioskJammer | Italy | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $2,349 | −$2,349 −100% | 14 |
| 25d | ptrck7 | Italy | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $22,978 | +$36,469 +159% | 14 |
| 25d | 1l2ihj34li12u342 fills | Italy | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $24,848 | −$24,848 −100% | 14 |
| 25d | 1l2ihj34li12u342 fills | Türkiye | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $19,189 | −$19,189 −100% | 14 |
| 25d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Türkiye | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,501 | +$773 +52% | 14 |
| 26d | JAMJAMJAM4 | Türkiye | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,046 | +$1,054 +52% | 14 |
| 26d | wanzzz333 | Italy | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $1,773 | +$2,773 +156% | 14 |
| 26d | Amused-Snowplow | Italy | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$7,821 +156% | 14 |
| 26d | 206mij | Türkiye | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,266 | −$1,266 −100% | 12 |
| 26d |  digitalnomad85 | Italy | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 12 |
| 26d |  hitfardedidi | Türkiye | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $14,943 | +$8,405 +56% | 12 |
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, September 28, 2026 between Türkiye and Italy.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Italy means the market gives it about 100%.