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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Ireland | 100% | +78 pts | +71 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ukraine | 0% | −50 pts | −60 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Draw (Ukraine vs. Northern Ireland) | 0% | −28 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21d | Yawning-Chicken | Ukraine | SellNo>99¢ | $4,238 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | Flaznorp5 fills | Northern Ireland | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $19,990 | +$2,858 +14% | 4 |
| 21d | 0x7756…e674 | Northern Ireland | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,149 | −$13 −1.2% | — |
| 21d | Educated-Shoat | Northern Ireland | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,970 | +$81 +1.0% | 4 |
| 21d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Ukraine | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,568 | +$386 +11% | 4 |
| 21d | UpTheBlues7 fills | Draw (Ukraine vs. Northern Ireland) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $17,931 | +$366 +2.0% | 4 |
| 21d | Northern Ireland | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,291 | +$68 +5.3% | 4 | |
| 21d | SharkVision | Northern Ireland | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,782 | +$94 +5.3% | 4 |
| 21d | ARocky33 | Northern Ireland | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | +$79 +5.3% | 4 |
| 21d | Rocky31 | Northern Ireland | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | +$79 +5.3% | 4 |
| 21d | kwzo | Northern Ireland | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$250 +25% | 4 |
| 21d | Hoch | Ukraine | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$277 +5.5% | 4 |
| 21d | GoalLineGhost2 fills | Northern Ireland | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $2,715 | +$746 +27% | 4 |
| 21d | Flaznorp2 fills | Ukraine | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,187 | +$140 +6.4% | 4 |
| 21d | olpy | Northern Ireland | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | +$331 +32% | 4 |
| 21d | vovatoxic2 fills | Ukraine | BuyYes19¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 21d | Ukraine | SellYes17¢ → 0¢ | $2,318 | +$2,318 +100% | — | |
| 21d | SharkVision | Ukraine | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $2,650 | +$1,031 +39% | 4 |
| 21d | Yawning-Chicken | Ukraine | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $2,308 | +$811 +35% | 4 |
| 21d | Vigilant-Environment | Ukraine | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,279 | +$300 +23% | 4 |
| 21d | sport-intelligence | Ukraine | BuyYes42¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 4 |
| 21d | CaptainColby | Ukraine | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,448 +72% | 14 |
| 21d | UpTheBlues | Northern Ireland | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $1,048 | −$1,048 −100% | 13 |
| 21d | Zzzz87 | Northern Ireland | BuyYes27¢ → 100¢ | $2,981 | +$8,060 +270% | 14 |
| 21d | Substantial-Service | Ukraine | BuyYes42¢ → 0¢ | $5,112 | −$5,112 −100% | 14 |
| 21d | Zzzz87 | Ukraine | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $4,595 | +$3,327 +72% | 14 |
| 21d | Ukraine | BuyNo54¢ → 100¢ | $1,490 | +$1,270 +85% | 14 | |
| 21d | Ukraine | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $1,291 | −$1,291 −100% | 14 | |
| 21d | zhuz632 | Ukraine | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$905 +89% | 14 |
| 21d | useruserlol | Ukraine | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 14 |
| 21d | GoalLineGhost | Ukraine | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$943 +92% | 14 |
| 21d | Ukraine | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 | |
| 21d | omnibus-076daa3 fills | Ukraine | BuyNo51¢ → 100¢ | $10,703 | +$10,485 +98% | 12 |
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Friday, October 2, 2026 between Ukraine and Northern Ireland.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Northern Ireland means the market gives it about 100%.