Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | +5 pts | +4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208d |  beenraping | U.S. Ambassador to Poland out by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,456 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 211d | pako | U.S. Ambassador to Poland out by March 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,390 | +$15 +1.1% | 4 |
triceratop15 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Rose ceases to be the U.S. Ambassador to Poland for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Rose's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.