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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 545d |  0xCarneyAsada | US announces Afghanistan military base in April? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,606 | +$158 +1.0% | 20 |
| 563d |  MisTKy3 | US announces Afghanistan military base in April? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,528 | +$147 +4.2% | 20 |
| 563d | denizz2 fills | US announces Afghanistan military base in April? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,330 | +$331 +7.7% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. announces that they are occupying/using Bagram air base in Afghanistan for military or intelligence operations by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official announcements form the U.S government and military.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.