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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 782d |  MLBksRETARD | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by August 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,724 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 784d | Naropoly | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by August 31? | BuyNo100¢ | $1,013 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 |
| 784d |  just.some.guy | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by August 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,759 | −$13 −0.8% | — |
RadLilDude37 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation is otherwise confirmed by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A full evacuation announced within this markets time frame will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the market's timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.