Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 662d | US Government confirms what Mystery Drones are in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,203 | −$10 −0.8% | — | |
| 663d | 80pos | US Government confirms what Mystery Drones are in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | −$8 −0.8% | — |
| 668d | US Government confirms what Mystery Drones are in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,989 | +$51 +2.6% | 4 | |
| 672d | US Government confirms what Mystery Drones are in 2024? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,239 | +$327 +26% | 4 | |
| 673d | US Government confirms what Mystery Drones are in 2024? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | −$277 −23% | — | |
| 673d | US Government confirms what Mystery Drones are in 2024? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | +$302 +29% | 4 | |
| 676d | US Government confirms what Mystery Drones are in 2024? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,598 | +$652 +41% | 4 | |
| 676d | US Government confirms what Mystery Drones are in 2024? | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $3,015 | −$3,015 −100% | 7 | |
| 676d | US Government confirms what Mystery Drones are in 2024? | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,158 | −$327 −28% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. federal government or its agencies (such as the FBI, DHS, or DoD) release any definitive statement confirming that any of the "mystery drone" clusters sighted in New Jersey or other parts of the U.S. Northeast are anything other than airplanes by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No" Any confirmation indicating that the drones are airplanes, helicopters, or normal civilian air traffic will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.