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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | −6 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 100¢ (99¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 773d | Lopgft | US inflation >0.1% from July to August 2024? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,105 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 773d | Lopgft | US inflation >0.1% from July to August 2024? | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $4,204 | +$1,605 +38% | 19 |
| 773d | PrinceHal2 fills | US inflation >0.1% from July to August 2024? | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $2,416 | +$1,584 +66% | 18 |
| 774d | US inflation >0.1% from July to August 2024? | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,308 +65% | 18 | |
| 793d | PrinceHal | US inflation >0.1% from July to August 2024? | SellNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,369 | +$1,369 +100% | — |
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from July to August 2024. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.1 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from July to August 2024 and “No“ otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS August 2024 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2024, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. ---- The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.2%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 0.1%, this market will resolve to “No”).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.