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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 240d | hpg2 | US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | −$19 −1.7% | — |
| 241d |  heresjimmy | US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 9 |
| 243d |  ComingBack | US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$1,791 +30% | 6 |
heresjimmy6,987 shares
Teixeira10276 shares
napplespie91 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the US State Department issues a level 4 “Do Not Travel” travel advisory for the Mexican State of Jalisco by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Travel advisory levels will be considered on a state-by-state basis, as displayed on the US State Department’s Travel Advisory website for Mexico (https://travel.state.gov/en/international-travel/travel-advisories/mexico.html). The overall travel advisory level for Mexico will not impact this market’s resolution, unless a level 4 "Do Not Travel" travel advisory is issued for all of Mexico. The primary resolution source for this market will be the US State Department’s Travel Advisory website for Mexico; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting that a “Do Not Travel” travel advisory has been issued for Jalisco State will qualify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.