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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +28 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 713d | 0xF95E582F076231a0793487B076CfA8b7 | U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,254 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 713d |  LBZcapital2 fills | U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024? | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,369 | +$31 +0.2% | 20 |
| 713d |  aenews22 fills | U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,276 | +$9 +0.3% | 20 |
| 713d |  Car | U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$45 +4.3% | 20 |
| 713d |  50Whence2 fills | U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $7,070 | +$1,325 +19% | 20 |
| 713d | denizz12 fills | U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $40,844 | +$5,985 +15% | 20 |
| 714d | rox | U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$62 +5.6% | 20 |
| 714d |  Libitum | U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024? | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$244 +23% | 20 |
| 714d | Frightening-Transit | U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024? | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $2,135 | +$501 +23% | 20 |
| 714d |  Brokie2 fills | U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024? | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $7,837 | +$2,163 +28% | 20 |
| 714d | 0xF95E582F076231a0793487B076CfA8b7 | U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024? | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | +$343 +28% | 20 |
| 716d | QQQQ123 | U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024? | BuyNo48¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 20 |
| 723d | Adrimarket | U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024? | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,147 | −$183 −16% | — |
| 728d |  MisTKy3 | U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024? | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | −$281 −24% | — |
| 730d | MisTKy3 | U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,531 | +$89 +5.8% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States initiates a military action on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory between October 22, 2024, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the U.S. on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Yemeni soil is subject to an U.S. missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.