Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 100% | +17 pts | +56 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ben Shelton | 100% | +21 pts | +39 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Rafael Jodar | 0% | −67 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brandon Nakashima | 0% | −35 pts | −55 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jack Kennedy | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sebastian Gorzny | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Filip Misolic | 0% | −26 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Alejandro Tabilo | 0% | −22 pts | −6 pts | — · 6¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Zverev | 100% | +6 pts | +23 pts | 89¢ · 100¢ (11¢) | — | ended |
| Carlos Taberner | 0% | −25 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Taylor Fritz | 0% | −68 pts | −69 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Flavio Cobolli | 0% | −13 pts | −25 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Novak Djokovic | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Daniil Medvedev | 0% | −57 pts | −26 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Andrey Rublev | 0% | −22 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cameron Norrie | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 0% | −39 pts | −25 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Valentin Vacherot | 0% | −48 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ugo Humbert | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Patrick Kypson | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alex de Minaur | 0% | −48 pts | −54 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Gael Monfils | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arthur Fils | 0% | −60 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 0% | −26 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Learner Tien | 0% | −62 pts | −48 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Blockx | 100% | +40 pts | +75 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Juncheng Shang | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · 7¢ | — | ended |
| Jakub Mensik | 0% | −26 pts | −43 pts | — · 18¢ | — | ended |
| Zizou Bergs | 0% | −27 pts | −8 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Arthur Rinderknech | 0% | −7 pts | −4 pts | — · 14¢ | — | ended |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 0% | −11 pts | −21 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Dane Sweeny | 0% | −11 pts | −4 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Michael Zheng | 0% | −25 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Darwin Blanch | 0% | +20 pts | +19 pts | — · 48¢ | — | ended |
| Frances Tiafoe | 100% | +58 pts | +48 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Luciano Darderi | 0% | −4 pts | −14 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Thanasi Kokkinakis | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · 9¢ | — | ended |
| Casper Ruud | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · 9¢ | — | ended |
| Tommy Paul | 0% | −10 pts | −16 pts | — · 18¢ | — | ended |
| Joao Fonseca | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| J.J. Wolf | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · 9¢ | — | ended |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | 0% | −3 pts | −16 pts | — · 91¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Bublik | 0% | −48 pts | −15 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Jiri Lehecka | 0% | −40 pts | −14 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47d | stevemaster | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,592 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Carlos Alcaraz means the market gives it about 100%.