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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 414d |  IamNotGood2 fills | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | SellSabalenka>99¢ | $5,495 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 414d | d327 | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | SellSabalenka>99¢ | $2,714 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 414d |  INADEDEN | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | SellSabalenka>99¢ | $4,438 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 414d | sbcrr333 | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | SellSabalenka99¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 414d | qwertyasdfghjkl | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuySabalenka99¢ → 100¢ | $3,179 | +$39 +1.2% | 4 |
| 414d |  VolodyaPGG3 fills | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuySabalenka91¢ → 100¢ | $8,722 | +$840 +9.6% | 5 |
| 414d | JigglyPuff | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | SellSabalenka89¢ → 100¢ | $3,169 | −$392 −12% | — |
| 414d | Dbrain | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | SellSabalenka89¢ → 100¢ | $1,731 | −$214 −12% | — |
| 414d |  scastro2303 | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuySabalenka87¢ → 100¢ | $1,527 | +$228 +15% | 5 |
| 414d | S-Works | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuySabalenka89¢ → 100¢ | $9,166 | +$1,133 +12% | 5 |
| 414d | 3bpatgs | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuySabalenka89¢ → 100¢ | $1,327 | +$164 +12% | 5 |
| 414d | 0x328 | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuySabalenka90¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$333 +11% | 5 |
| 414d | 025d4 fills | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuySabalenka65¢ → 100¢ | $6,317 | +$3,404 +54% | 6 |
| 414d | Jolanda | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuySabalenka45¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | +$1,459 +122% | 6 |
| 414d | ChallengerSpecialist | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyPegula28¢ → 0¢ | $1,127 | −$1,127 −100% | 6 |
| 414d | 0x02e65d10e83eb391ca0c466630f82790854e253 fills | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyPegula25¢ → 0¢ | $8,320 | −$8,320 −100% | 6 |
| 414d |  T1-FAKERR | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuySabalenka76¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$411 +32% | 6 |
| 414d |  1lI2 fills | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuySabalenka75¢ → 100¢ | $2,920 | +$975 +33% | 4 |
| 414d | INADEDEN | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuySabalenka76¢ → 100¢ | $3,376 | +$1,066 +32% | 6 |
| 414d | IamNotGood | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuySabalenka76¢ → 100¢ | $3,800 | +$1,200 +32% | 6 |
| 414d | 4-seass | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuyPegula25¢ → 0¢ | $2,487 | −$2,487 −100% | 4 |
| 414d | sbcrr333 | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuySabalenka76¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$361 +32% | 4 |
| 414d | d327 | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuySabalenka75¢ → 100¢ | $2,025 | +$675 +33% | 4 |
| 414d |  0010001000001100 | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuySabalenka75¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$500 +33% | 4 |
| 414d | 0x02e65d10e83eb391ca0c466630f82790854e252 fills | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuySabalenka75¢ → 100¢ | $10,554 | +$3,570 +34% | 4 |
| 414d | jaytee158 | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuySabalenka74¢ → 100¢ | $3,330 | +$1,170 +35% | 4 |
| 415d | JigglyPuff | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuySabalenka74¢ → 100¢ | $2,110 | +$741 +35% | 4 |
| 415d | DonnieBaby | US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BuySabalenka75¢ → 100¢ | $4,840 | +$1,613 +33% | 4 |
This is a polymarket on the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula in the 2025 US Open women's singles semi-final, scheduled for September 4, 2025. This market will resolve to 'Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Jessica Pegula. This market will resolve to 'Pegula' if Jessica Pegula advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond September 11, 2025, without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends in a walkover (one player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve in favor of the player who officially advances to the next round. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.