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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +2 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 304d | Michael5289 | US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,816 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 306d | thebetter12342 fills | US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,510 | +$89 +3.5% | 20 |
| 312d | waawaaa4 fills | US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,013 | −$268 −4.5% | — |
| 327d | waawaaa2 fills | US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,484 | +$26 +0.4% | 20 |
PipiKaki69881 shares
etshdahadthjnsfjnAHBETNTEA376 shares
Sardinianshepherd346 shares
Ksaich-Pack1300 sharesThis market will resolve if the value of the "[US] Federal government current tax receipts: Taxes on production and imports: Customs duties" for Q3 2025 is higher than Q2 2025, as defined and reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis via the following source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/B235RC1Q027SBEA Only initial releases of each quarterly value will be used for resolution. Revisions made after the initial Q3 2025 release will not be counted. If all relevant data is not published by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution is based exclusively on the data shown in the chart linked above.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.