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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 268d |  JJo | US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,650 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 282d |  MONARCA-DE-LOS-MARES | US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | −$20 −1.8% | — |
| 286d | acrx999 | US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,712 | −$111 −3.0% | — |
| 291d |  Parz1vaI | US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,935 | −$60 −3.1% | — |
| 292d | wubddh2 fills | US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,780 | +$223 +3.3% | 20 |
| 293d |  Degenhardt | US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,027 | +$197 +9.7% | 20 |
egonzalez7367 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the US and Venezuela between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the US and Venezuela; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the US and Venezuela has been reached will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.