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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H.R.5371 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| H.Con.Res.38 | 0% | +2 pts | +2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| S.81 | 0% | 0 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| S.2882 | 0% | +1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| H.R.3633 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| S.1241 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| S. 394 | 0% | +1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d | M888 | S.1241 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,716 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | M888 | S.81 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,312 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d | M888 | S. 394 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,758 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d | M888 | S.2882 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,388 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d | M888 | H.R.3633 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,152 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d | M888 | H.Con.Res.38 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,133 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 344d | H.R.5371 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,862 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 366d | S.1241 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $7,654 | +$850 +11% | 20 | |
| 366d | S.81 | SellNo49¢ → 100¢ | $7,486 | −$7,792 −104% | — | |
| 366d | S.81 | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $7,639 | −$7,639 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve "Yes" if the bill listed is signed into law by the President of the United States by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A bill will only qualify if it receives the President’s signature and becomes law through the normal legislative process. Vetoed bills, bills passed only by one chamber, or those that fail to reach the President’s desk, will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from Congress.gov or the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if ambiguity arises.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for H.R.5371 means the market gives it about 100%.