Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States | 100% | +98 pts | +97 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Philippines | 0% | −21 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hungary | 0% | −7 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Italy | 0% | −51 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ghana | 0% | −8 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Democratic Republic of the Congo | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Country A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 533d |  Flipadelphia | United States | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,105 | +$11 +0.3% | 4 |
| 533d |  tsybka | Democratic Republic of the Congo | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,270 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 533d | tsybka | Hungary | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,727 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 533d | tsybka | Ghana | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,726 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 533d | cigarettes | Democratic Republic of the Congo | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,219 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 533d | cigarettes | Hungary | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,219 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 533d | cigarettes | Ghana | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,217 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 533d | SeonKyeong-rae | United States | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,713 | +$8 +0.3% | 4 |
| 533d |  🔥DumfuqDecrap🔥CHEATSatWORDLE🔥 | Democratic Republic of the Congo | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,647 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 533d | MGB2 | Hungary | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,974 | +$18 +0.1% | 4 |
| 533d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Ghana | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,337 | +$15 +1.2% | 4 |
| 533d |  IBetTheFarm | United States | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,600 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 534d | 🔥DumfuqDecrap🔥CHEATSatWORDLE🔥 | Italy | BuyNo51¢ → 100¢ | $1,231 | +$1,164 +95% | 4 |
| 544d | Morka | Italy | SellYes47¢ → 0¢ | $11,375 | +$11,375 +100% | — |
| 544d | Zareph | Italy | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $12,846 | +$11,391 +89% | 4 |
| 548d | Ryndor | Italy | SellYes46¢ → 0¢ | $17,744 | +$17,744 +100% | — |
| 548d | huy78 | Italy | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $20,445 | +$18,131 +89% | 4 |
This market will resolve to the country from which the next person announced as the bishop of Rome after Pope Francis is from. The country where the next Pope was born will be used to determine which country they are from. If no new pope is announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Vatican, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for United States means the market gives it about 100%.