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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 1 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 2 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 3 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 4 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 6 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 7 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 8 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 9 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 10 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 11 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 12 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 13 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 14 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 15 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 16 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 17 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 18 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 19 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 20 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 21 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 22 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 23 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 24 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 25 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 26 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 27 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 28 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 29 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 30 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| No token launch by March 31 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230d | dube2 fills | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $12,210 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | jetLLLLLLLL | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,076 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | danielleggerman | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $23,432 | −$23 −0.1% | — |
| 230d |  bamesjond3 fills | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,995 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | 0x0670…c68e | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,603 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 230d |  turbodi7el | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,107 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | jimmyhasballs | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $14,945 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | elpredictoooor | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,652 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | melganis | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,000 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | Voron | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,867 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 230d |  Melqui | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $15,783 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 231d |  leleko2k | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,463 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 231d |  moksel | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,198 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 231d | okcoolstorybro | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $28,015 | −$28 −0.1% | — |
| 231d | cripes3 | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,495 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 231d |  0xjames | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,100 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 231d | cripes3 | March 5 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,586 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d | bamesjond | March 5 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,267 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d | yougotme | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $20,579 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 231d |  Tigerofthehood | March 5 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,396 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d | elpredictoooor | March 5 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d |  RockyZet | March 5 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,197 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d | Nautical-PuddingNew account | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,351 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 231d | SirBondoslot | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $24,011 | −$24 −0.1% | — |
| 231d | droopyal | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,423 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 231d |  shiepapito | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 231d |  Lythera | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,069 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 231d | shiepapito | March 5 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d | tianjiyuyunzhilu3 fills | March 5 | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,158 | +$42 +0.2% | 2 |
| 231d | Melqui | March 5 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,785 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d | ASDFGH43132 | March 5 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,077 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d |  Infringe | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,790 | −$12 −0.2% | — |
| 231d | Flancho2 fills | March 5 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,181 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d |  isunou | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,109 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 231d | pelik | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 231d |  OraculumNobius | March 5 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,497 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $47,894 | −$48 −0.1% | — |
| 231d | 5w6a1f5fwa | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,971 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 231d | Hpp3 | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,484 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 231d |  DiamondHands115 fills | March 5 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $91,750 | +$686 +0.7% | 2 |
| 231d | SirBondoslot2 fills | March 5 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,021 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d | melganis2 fills | March 5 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d | whochanged | March 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,382 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 231d |  burratatata | March 5 | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,876 | +$19 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d | dube | March 5 | BuyYes>99¢ | $24,935 | +$25 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d |  BenzoateOstylezeneBicarbonate | March 5 | BuyYes>99¢ | $143,512 | +$144 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | March 9 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,549 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d |  abhionpoly | March 9 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,794 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d | yougotme | March 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,924 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 231d | yougotme | March 6 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,106 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 231d | okcoolstorybro | March 5 | BuyYes>99¢ | $26,767 | +$27 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d |  lranon2nd | March 6 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,794 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 231d | droopyal | March 5 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,425 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d | OraculumNobius | March 9 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,440 | +$10 +0.4% | 2 |
| 231d | Trustinghorse | March 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,165 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 231d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b045 fills | March 5 | BuyYes>99¢ | $112,321 | +$563 +0.5% | 2 |
| 231d |  scout5 fills | March 5 | BuyYes>99¢ | $246,384 | +$337 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d | yougotme2 fills | March 5 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,560 | +$36 +0.2% | 2 |
| 231d | OraculumNobius | March 14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,999 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d | abhionpoly | No token launch by March 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,129 | +$38 +1.8% | 2 |
This market will resolve to the first date (in ET) on which Paredex launches its governance token. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Paradex (https://www.paradex.trade/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for March 5 means the market gives it about 100%.