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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 21 | 100% | +2 pts | +21 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 4 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 5 | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 6 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 7 | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 8 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 9 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 10 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 11 | 0% | −4 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 12 | 0% | −4 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 13 | 0% | −27 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 14 | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 15 | 0% | 0 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 16 | 0% | 0 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 17 | 0% | — | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 18 | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 19 | 0% | 0 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 20 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 22 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 23 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 24 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 25 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 26 | 0% | 0 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 27 | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 28 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 29 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 30 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| No token launch by April 30 | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 185d | tphhh | April 21 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,676 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 185d | tphhh | April 22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,593 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 185d | seedah | April 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,797 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 185d | April 21 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,067 | −$21 −1.0% | — | |
| 188d | Estwo | April 21 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | −$33 −3.0% | — |
| 189d | April 21 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,695 | +$36 +2.1% | 2 | |
| 189d | April 21 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,663 | +$61 +3.7% | 2 | |
| 193d | April 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,122 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 195d | April 11 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,230 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 196d | April 9 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,096 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to the first date (in ET) on which USD.AI launches its token. Only an official token launched by USD.AI will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from USD.AI (https://usd.ai/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for April 21 means the market gives it about 100%.