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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $600M | 100% | +5 pts | +34 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $700M | 100% | +46 pts | +46 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $1B | 0% | +6 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $800M | 0% | +14 pts | +5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $900M | 0% | +18 pts | +2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 254d |  CoinTrick | $600M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,198 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 254d | pelik | $700M | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,201 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 254d | pelik2 fills | $600M | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,244 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 255d | randomuser123467 | $600M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,282 | +$18 +1.4% | 2 |
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any 1-minute candle for MARU (MARU/USDC) during Q1 2026 (from January 1 to 11:59 PM ET on March 31) has a final “High” price that implies a Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The FDV will be calculated by multiplying the MARU token price by the total token supply. The resolution source for this market is EdgeX, specifically the MARU/USDC price feed available at: https://pro.edgex.exchange/spot/MARU/USDC with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles). Only the EdgeX MARU/USDC price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $600M means the market gives it about 100%.