Polymarket · OtherClosed

What percent of US COVID-19 cases will be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?

Most traded: 1% or more>99%
24h volume: $0
Total volume: $641K
Outcomes: 8
Ends: —

Odds over time

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Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid · Ask	24h volume	Ends
1% or more	>99%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended
10% or more	>99%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended
50% or more	>99%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended
80% or more	>99%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended
95% or more	>99%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended
99% or more	<1%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended
90% or more	>99%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended
85% or more	>99%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended

Whale trades

$1,000 and up · latest

No trades of $1,000 or more lately.

Biggest holders: 1% or more · Yes

Belayon2,466 shares
joshy129 shares
Mikehoncho4761 shares
Ecstatic-Toothpick10 shares
ciaosasha6 shares
Prestigious-Slippers6 shares
Incredible-Text5 shares
mirzagol_ho3 shares

Biggest holders: 1% or more · No

0xd67c…396899,023 shares
teku41,237 shares
DullInclusiveNews2,019 shares
schillna527 shares
Mountainous-Tortoise384 shares
blavod262 shares
Quiet-Evidence238 shares
9to5148 shares

How this market settles

This is a market group on the percent of US COVID-19 cases originating from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022, according to CDC's nowcast https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions.

Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: >99¢ for 1% or more means the market gives it about >99%.

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