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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $284 | 0% | −7 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $248 | 0% | −1 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $240 | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $232 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $264 | 100% | +22 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $272 | 100% | +20 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $220 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $256 | 100% | +4 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $316 | 0% | +1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $300 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $336 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $208 | 0% | +1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $172 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $192 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 238d | Aljazur | ↓ $220 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,700 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 238d | Aljazur | ↑ $316 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,300 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 240d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | ↑ $284 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,605 | +$195 +12% | 5 |
| 242d | turkxbt | ↓ $208 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$10 +0.5% | 4 |
| 247d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | ↓ $248 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,363 | +$221 +16% | 4 |
| 248d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | ↓ $240 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,191 | +$109 +9.2% | 4 |
| 262d |  CoinTrick | ↑ $272 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,198 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 264d | pelik | ↑ $264 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,229 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 264d | CoinTrick2 fills | ↑ $264 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,333 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 264d | JamieB0nd | ↑ $256 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,947 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ $284 means the market gives it about 0%.