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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 74,000 | 0% | −9 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 66,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | — | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | — | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 194d | JakeHursty | ↓ 60,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,197 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 194d |  niefeng | ↓ 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,430 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | allback | ↑ 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,686 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 194d |  berboche | ↑ 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,963 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | Striped-Dividend | ↑ 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,939 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | dallascd | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,104 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | guangtouqiang310 | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,039 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | jc222 | ↑ 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,977 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 194d | gourizi3-09 | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,036 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | wuhaodianche308 | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,040 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | wangbadan2-7 | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,041 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | jieya3021 | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,010 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | wsrhuyaseryhdr | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,012 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d |  Tttyh | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,313 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d |  ZeinST | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,589 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | Tttyh2 fills | ↑ 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $14,057 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | Tttyh2 fills | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $32,883 | +$33 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | lot-208 | ↓ 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,965 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | lot-2083 fills | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,943 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | Rin2x | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,157 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | lot-208 | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,438 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | lot-208 | ↑ 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,541 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | lot-2082 fills | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $28,778 | +$29 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | Kayn | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,800 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | lsijlsirjliryi | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,199 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | vetmin | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,254 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 194d |  TCBY6688 | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,997 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 194d | nomalmaker | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,909 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 194d | xiaohao023 | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,418 | +$13 +0.5% | 2 |
| 194d | allen114 | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,335 | +$59 +0.7% | 2 |
| 194d | deranged3 fills | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,420 | +$32 +0.2% | 2 |
| 194d | gabimaru0 | ↑ 74,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,526 | −$35 −2.3% | — |
| 194d | Dense-Muscat | ↑ 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,207 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 194d | collided2 fills | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $45,748 | +$46 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | jrfjftj | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,169 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | hulhjl | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,128 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | SplendidAmadeus | ↑ 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,495 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 194d | Full-Bail | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,128 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | yfkjgfhjngh | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,127 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | gfjnfhgng | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,131 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | fortuney | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,634 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 194d | Doomster | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,926 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | Benn123 | ↓ 64,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,188 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 194d | Benn123 | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,189 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | Knowledgeable-Stem | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | +$9 +0.8% | 2 |
| 194d | deranged | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,490 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | Smilemore123 | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | +$18 +1.8% | 2 |
| 194d | Saori.Kido | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | ah0.1 | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,213 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | Chinspy | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,214 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | badluckeveryday | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,028 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | badluckeveryday | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,799 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | predictrader | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,994 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | Male-Schoolhouse | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,076 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | Rin2x | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,777 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 194d | Rin2x | ↑ 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | Candela | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | Quirky-Selection | ↑ 74,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,179 | −$27 −2.3% | — |
| 194d | 0xe617…f2512 fills | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,992 | +$56 +1.4% | 2 |
| 194d | 0x4245…62eb | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,117 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit April 6-12?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 74,000 means the market gives it about 0%.