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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −5 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 74,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 54,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 52,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 50,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68d | Doomster | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,342 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 68d |  Facaie | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 68d |  upont | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,546 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 68d | Rin2x | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,248 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 68d | upont | ↓ 58,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,597 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 68d |  Tttyh2 fills | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,583 | +$25 +0.1% | 2 |
| 68d | Dou1233 fills | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,564 | +$65 +1.2% | 2 |
| 68d | anon.1980.1238 fills | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $35,672 | +$835 +2.3% | 2 |
| 68d | Overcooked-Spinach | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,730 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 68d |  meowmers | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,895 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 68d | Tttyh | ↓ 60,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,286 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 68d | upont | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,502 | +$11 +0.3% | 2 |
| 68d | Worse-Haunt2 fills | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,344 | +$11 +0.5% | 2 |
| 68d | Tttyh | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $28,132 | +$28 +0.1% | 2 |
| 68d | YautjaPM2 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,443 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 68d | 0x4245…62eb | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,826 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 68d | Rin2x | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,008 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 68d |  leleko2k | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,267 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 68d | Navigator77 | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,740 | +$25 +0.2% | 2 |
| 68d | Tttyh4 fills | ↓ 58,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,696 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 68d | Tttyh | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,415 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 68d |  LiMoon | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,729 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 68d | Early-Elite | ↓ 60,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 68d |  justdance | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,519 | +$80 +5.3% | 2 |
| 68d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | ↓ 62,000 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,767 | −$113 −6.4% | — |
| 68d | jytfkuyi | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,267 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 68d | jytdfhres | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,059 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 68d | rtuh56 | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,041 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 68d | giuhjhkg | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,062 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 69d | bfdgsb | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,915 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 69d | hkjhkjh | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,216 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 69d | sertfgrdyh46dfg7 | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,673 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 69d | SplendidAmadeus | ↑ 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,291 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 69d |  walnascar | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,198 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 69d | walnascar | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,579 | +$12 +0.8% | 2 |
| 69d | leveredHoneybadger | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$7 +0.7% | 2 |
| 69d | detoxification | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 69d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,102 | +$9 +0.8% | 2 |
| 69d | Wont-u-sing-w-me | ↑ 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,110 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 69d | 0x4245…62eb | ↑ 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,713 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 69d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | +$214 +18% | 3 |
| 70d | YautjaPM2 | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,988 | +$21 +0.3% | 2 |
| 70d | YautjaPM2 | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,469 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 70d | Noteagle | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,262 | +$17 +1.3% | 2 |
| 70d | Cryptodawg7 | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,014 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 70d | PhongLeXBT | ↓ 62,000 | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,201 | −$179 −15% | — |
| 70d | grteddtdhd | ↑ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,767 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 70d | tetdrtrtd | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,657 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 70d | YTREYHGFSD | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,333 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 70d | Tttyh | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,785 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 70d | 0x4245…62eb | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,751 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 70d |  olegs | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,252 | +$11 +0.9% | 2 |
| 70d | anon.1980.1232 fills | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $13,299 | +$1,217 +9.1% | 2 |
| 70d | Egozic86 | ↓ 62,000 | SellNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | −$1,142 −77% | — |
| 70d | Egozic86 | ↓ 60,000 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,154 | −$120 −3.8% | — |
| 70d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $6,570 | +$1,711 +26% | 2 |
| 71d | Early-Elite | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$34 +3.0% | 2 |
| 71d | Alanfree | ↑ 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,900 | +$27 +0.7% | 2 |
| 71d | anon.1980.1233 fills | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $12,828 | +$967 +7.5% | 2 |
| 71d | Egozic86 | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$41 +2.1% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit August 10-16?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 62,000 means the market gives it about 0%.
