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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 72,000 | 100% | +99 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 74,000 | 100% | +91 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 100% | +97 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 100% | +98 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 100% | +93 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 100% | +89 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 54,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 52,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 50,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62d |  Tttyh7 fills | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,563 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 62d | Tttyh3 fills | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,131 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 62d | 0x4245…62eb2 fills | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,032 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 62d | Tttyh6 fills | ↓ 62,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $12,701 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 63d | Tttyh | ↓ 60,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,113 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 63d | 0B06 | ↓ 60,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,136 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 63d | 0x4245…62eb | ↓ 62,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,155 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 63d | 0x4245…62eb | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,155 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d | swisslion | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,159 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d |  FXC | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,694 | +$21 +0.2% | 2 |
| 63d | FXC | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,742 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d |  olegs3 fills | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,409 | +$56 +0.5% | 2 |
| 63d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,181 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 63d | detoxification2 fills | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,639 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 63d | olegs | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,020 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 63d | Muted-Company | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,400 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d | Young-Eaves-Stot | ↓ 54,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,900 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 64d | Sinful-Telescreen-HealthcareNew account | ↑ 78,000 | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,685 | −$821 −31% | — |
| 64d | duneprod1 | ↑ 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $14,706 | +$85 +0.6% | 2 |
| 64d |  US-Phenom | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo53¢ → 0¢ | $2,132 | −$2,132 −100% | 3 |
| 64d | duneprod1 | ↑ 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,640 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 64d | Tepid-Shipper | ↑ 78,000 | SellYes36¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | −$1,986 −177% | — |
| 64d | lee886 | ↓ 62,000 | SellNo100¢ | $1,228 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 64d |  wolfofshelbyy | ↑ 76,000 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,254 | +$246 +20% | 3 |
| 64d | 0xa68c…f805 | ↑ 76,000 | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $5,365 | −$1,612 −30% | — |
| 64d | faabi | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,081 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 64d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04526 fills | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $10,047 | −$10,047 −100% | 3 |
| 64d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $3,782 | −$3,782 −100% | 2 |
| 64d | kai-xin | ↑ 76,000 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $3,536 | +$625 +18% | 2 |
| 64d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 76,000 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,753 | +$469 +27% | 2 |
| 64d | Lkens | ↑ 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,509 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 64d |  endlesssss | ↑ 74,000 | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,177 | +$823 +70% | 3 |
| 64d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $11,192 | −$11,192 −100% | 2 |
| 64d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | ↑ 74,000 | BuyYes46¢ → 100¢ | $7,094 | +$8,302 +117% | 4 |
| 64d |  justdance2 fills | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $4,848 | −$4,848 −100% | 5 |
| 64d | SplendidAmadeus | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $4,203 | −$4,203 −100% | 2 |
| 64d | lugosix2 fills | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $2,468 | −$2,468 −100% | 3 |
| 64d |  TCBY6688 | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 0¢ | $1,430 | −$1,430 −100% | 2 |
| 64d | suntori | ↓ 62,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 64d | cornprovide | ↓ 50,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,954 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 64d | justdance2 fills | ↑ 74,000 | BuyYes46¢ → 100¢ | $5,652 | +$6,503 +115% | 4 |
| 65d |  CoinTrick | ↑ 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,163 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 65d | retokloreretpo2 fills | ↑ 72,000 | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $7,902 | −$2,324 −29% | — |
| 65d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | ↑ 72,000 | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $9,141 | +$7,010 +77% | 3 |
| 65d | pmBigg | ↑ 74,000 | SellNo65¢ → 0¢ | $2,069 | +$2,069 +100% | — |
| 65d |  wAliens2 fills | ↑ 72,000 | SellYes32¢ → 100¢ | $4,234 | −$9,079 −214% | — |
| 65d | SplendidAmadeus | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,572 | −$1,572 −100% | 2 |
| 65d | badluckeveryday | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 65d | Loooser | ↑ 72,000 | SellYes30¢ → 100¢ | $2,262 | −$5,304 −234% | — |
| 65d | badluckeveryday | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,035 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 65d | Loooser | ↑ 72,000 | BuyYes25¢ → 100¢ | $1,899 | +$5,549 +292% | 5 |
| 65d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $3,866 | −$3,866 −100% | 2 |
| 65d | 24508 | ↓ 52,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 65d | 0B06 | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 0¢ | $1,650 | −$1,650 −100% | 2 |
| 65d | anon.1980.1233 fills | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 0¢ | $5,472 | −$5,472 −100% | 2 |
| 65d | YautjaPM2 | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $5,180 | −$5,180 −100% | 2 |
| 65d | pmBigg | ↑ 72,000 | SellNo53¢ → 0¢ | $2,427 | +$2,427 +100% | — |
| 65d | Well-To-Do-Sanctity2 fills | ↑ 72,000 | SellYes29¢ → 100¢ | $2,278 | −$5,614 −246% | — |
| 65d | Nonurbusines | ↑ 70,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,361 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 65d | CoinTrick | ↑ 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,988 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
labistiiia1,000 sharesUS-Phenom266 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit August 17-23?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 72,000 means the market gives it about 100%.