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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | −3 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 74,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 0% | — | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 66,000 | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | — | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 54,000 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 242d | xulinlin029 | ↓ 64,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,195 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 243d |  BlackswanHunter | ↑ 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $14,750 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 243d | xulinlin029 | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,189 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 243d | heyhi | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,714 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 243d |  AcctToBeRetired | ↓ 60,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,218 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 243d |  Tttyh2 fills | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,873 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 243d | Rin2x | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 243d |  ZeinST | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,491 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 243d | fuzao | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,004 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 243d | AcctToBeRetired2 fills | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,491 | +$67 +0.6% | 2 |
| 243d | lnarix2 fills | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,363 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 243d | 0x1461cC6e3 fills | ↓ 64,000 | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $8,056 | −$8,056 −100% | 3 |
| 243d | Gozi | ↓ 64,000 | SellYes68¢ → 0¢ | $5,789 | +$5,789 +100% | — |
| 243d | AcctToBeRetired4 fills | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $33,992 | +$576 +1.7% | 2 |
| 243d | elems2 fills | ↓ 62,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,624 | −$39 −1.5% | — |
| 243d | Mignon | ↓ 64,000 | SellNo63¢ → 100¢ | $3,785 | −$2,252 −59% | — |
| 243d | PikaCHU448 | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,243 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 243d | ZeinST | ↓ 60,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,144 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 243d | ReNtHaL | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,612 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 243d | Mignon2 fills | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,039 | +$34 +0.6% | 2 |
| 243d | Tttyh | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,491 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 243d | Tttyh4 fills | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $32,992 | +$38 +0.1% | 2 |
| 243d | Mignon | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,611 | +$26 +0.3% | 2 |
| 243d | Mignon | ↓ 58,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,602 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 243d | choohkz23 | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,502 | +$68 +0.7% | 2 |
| 243d | rockyyou | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,760 | +$18 +0.3% | 2 |
| 243d | Tttyh | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,285 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 243d |  leleko2k | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,397 | +$49 +1.1% | 2 |
| 243d | Saori.Kido | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 243d | Saori.Kido | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 243d |  OraculumNobius | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,214 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 243d | neutralwave23 | ↓ 58,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,025 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 243d | CSTr1 | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,043 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 243d | neutralwave23 | ↓ 56,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,008 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 243d | zoquendo4 fills | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,234 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 243d | zoquendo3 fills | ↑ 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,671 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 243d | marketplace3 fills | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,726 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 243d | marketplace3 fills | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $31,999 | +$32 +0.1% | 2 |
| 243d |  DeFiPredictionMan | ↓ 58,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,001 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 243d | DeFiPredictionMan | ↓ 56,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,002 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 243d | DeFiPredictionMan | ↑ 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,004 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 243d | DeFiPredictionMan | ↓ 60,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,004 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 243d |  BettingQuant | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | +$13 +0.9% | 2 |
| 243d | marketplace | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,870 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 243d |  olegs2 fills | ↓ 56,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,027 | −$23 −0.4% | — |
| 244d | dodca | ↓ 60,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,080 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 244d | zoquendo | ↑ 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 244d | yingxiajsdf | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,280 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 244d | ghrtshgsfd | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,202 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 244d | h65eyhtsrfg | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,388 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 244d | suibainxcf | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,309 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 244d | gvedrfsc | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,287 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 244d | erwfgds | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,287 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 244d | 4retfg | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,191 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 244d | ETGSERYTER | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,191 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 244d | erdywrsetyery | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,178 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 244d | AWRFDwrfset | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,223 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 244d | eyTXDRUJTYI | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,219 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 244d | EWSTGSET | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,309 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 244d | atgaset | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,265 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit February 16-22?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 72,000 means the market gives it about 0%.