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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −61 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | −26 pts | −59 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 74,000 | 0% | −5 pts | −59 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −57 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | — | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −54 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −59 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 66,000 | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250d | ZaneThorne51 | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,003 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 250d | lnarix | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,150 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 250d | lnarix4 fills | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,539 | +$22 +0.1% | 2 |
| 250d | elPolloLoco3 fills | ↓ 64,000 | SellNo64¢ → 100¢ | $8,827 | −$5,014 −57% | — |
| 250d | 1881aa | ↓ 64,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,834 | −$30 −1.1% | — |
| 250d | yaofacaila | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,698 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 250d | elon999 | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,522 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 250d | kaituoz | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,096 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 250d | dysk | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,577 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 250d | Rin2x | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 250d | Kayn | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 250d | Rin2x | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,493 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 250d |  Tttyh2 fills | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,200 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 250d | iamgone | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,582 | +$21 +0.2% | 2 |
| 250d | PikaCHU448 | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 250d | Incognitoo | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,930 | +$195 +1.2% | 2 |
| 250d | iamgone | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,025 | +$78 +0.7% | 2 |
| 250d | 1231123123 | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,563 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 250d | 12311231233 fills | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,713 | +$69 +0.4% | 2 |
| 250d | 12311231232 fills | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,556 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 250d | keannareeves | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$19 +1.8% | 2 |
| 250d |  leleko2k | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $9,109 | +$46 +0.5% | 2 |
| 250d | yaokan6 fills | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $11,056 | +$240 +2.2% | 2 |
| 250d | badluckeveryday | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,224 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 250d | 1231123123 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,938 | +$40 +0.4% | 2 |
| 250d | deranged | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,194 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 250d | deranged | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,355 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 250d | deranged | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,127 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 250d | ah0.1 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,744 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 250d |  pandafam | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 250d | porkchoop | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,608 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 250d | porkchoop3 fills | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,988 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 250d | Tttyh | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,047 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 250d | Tttyh | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,400 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 250d | Tttyh | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,200 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 251d | b3tm0re | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,898 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 251d | 0x1461cC6e5 fills | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $11,230 | +$6,975 +62% | 3 |
| 251d | sensesprofound3 fills | ↓ 56,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $26,204 | −$26 −0.1% | — |
| 251d | sensesprofound | ↑ 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,570 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 251d | sensesprofound | ↑ 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,580 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 251d | predictrader | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 251d | EricaXBT | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,983 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 251d | 1dayullbeproud | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,497 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 251d | nearping | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 251d | gobblewobble3 fills | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $4,599 | +$1,942 +42% | 3 |
| 251d | f4fggg | ↑ 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,618 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 251d | f4fggg | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,620 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 251d | 0x1461cC6e4 fills | ↑ 72,000 | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $9,734 | −$9,734 −100% | 11 |
| 251d | 1881aa | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | +$13 +1.1% | 2 |
| 251d | HuatzTTM | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,396 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 251d | HuatzTTM2 fills | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,623 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 251d | highlows | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,744 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 251d | ReNtHaL | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,562 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 251d | elPolloLoco | ↓ 60,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,510 | −$12 −0.8% | — |
| 251d |  justdance | ↑ 72,000 | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $1,440 | −$1,440 −100% | 5 |
| 251d | porkchoop3 fills | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $30,105 | +$30 +0.1% | 2 |
| 252d | hyx6662 fills | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,049 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 252d | duckingduckk | ↑ 74,000 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | −$109 −9.4% | — |
| 252d | duckingduckk | ↑ 72,000 | SellNo59¢ → 100¢ | $1,373 | −$954 −69% | — |
| 252d | hyx666 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,634 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit February 9-15?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 64,000 means the market gives it about 0%.
