Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 150,000 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 100,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 85,000 | 100% | +90 pts | +69 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 125,000 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 105,000 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 100% | +96 pts | +93 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 110,000 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 120,000 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 130,000 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 115,000 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 40,000 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 95,000 | 100% | +37 pts | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 65,000 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 55,000 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 50,000 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 45,000 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 265d | beatyesterday | ↓ 75,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,000 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | John1455 | ↓ 75,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,310 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | restart77 | ↑ 150,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,319 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | ↑ 130,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,717 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 265d | tinm | ↑ 150,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,778 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | interforeverwin | ↑ 130,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | gobblewobble | ↓ 75,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | ↓ 75,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,684 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 265d | Arid-Cartoon | ↓ 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | imjustkim | ↓ 75,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,068 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | washedtrades | ↓ 75,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,663 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | NeverGiveUpTillTheEnd | ↓ 75,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,635 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,501 | +$44 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 265d | Tawp | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,003 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | i9ujubujb | ↓ 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,756 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 265d | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,224 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 265d | 0xf705…3ca712 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $113,886 | +$114 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | Rin2x7 fills | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,450 | +$159 +1.2% | 2 |
| 265d | imjustkim2 fills | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,474 | +$138 +1.5% | 2 |
| 265d | Starchy-Moonscape | ↓ 75,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,433 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 265d | Jorons | ↓ 75,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,057 | −$17 −1.6% | — |
| 265d | Insignificant-Pastor | ↓ 75,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,588 | −$21 −1.3% | — |
| 265d | completion2 fills | ↓ 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,992 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $18,058 | +$139 +0.8% | 2 | |
| 265d | ↓ 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,006 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 265d | iloveass | ↑ 100,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,004 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Flancho | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,282 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | AgainstAll | ↑ 100,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,005 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Rin2x | ↑ 105,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,473 | +$88 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 265d | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd47 fills | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $17,775 | +$1,431 +8.1% | 2 |
| 265d | Rin2x | ↑ 100,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,743 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | leo13456 | ↓ 75,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,477 | −$37 −2.5% | — |
| 265d | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,260 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 265d | i9ujubujb | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | ↓ 75,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | −$21 −2.0% | — | |
| 265d | uwrstgwe | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,068 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | tgweyWETG | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,125 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | aefwses | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,073 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | asgsedts | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,066 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | sdgwehyert | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,074 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | ryweryw | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,140 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | rtujetyher | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,096 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | edrthufj | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,145 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | rtiktyiuk | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,161 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | eruyhearyer | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,158 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 265d | SWEYqegte | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,104 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 265d | ryaweryh | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,088 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 265d | wertfsdg | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,053 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 265d | ewrywry | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,124 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 265d | tuyott | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,138 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | sryhde | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,078 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | wrseyhderty | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,061 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | eryhdwestrwe | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,078 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | syherdsyha | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,066 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | drtyikthetu | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,091 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | drtyiktuhuyer | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,108 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | rftrjuftg | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,092 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | Untried-SpiralNew account | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | +$31 +3.1% | 3 |
| 265d | yortyik | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,109 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit in January?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 150,000 means the market gives it about 0%.