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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 95,000 | 1% | 0 pts | −3 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $29.8K | in 8d |
| ↑ 87,500 | 10% | −10 pts | −21 pts | 9¢ · 10¢ (1¢) | $28.4K | in 8d |
| ↓ 80,000 | 82% | +17 pts | +12 pts | 81¢ · 82¢ (1¢) | $23.4K | in 8d |
| ↓ 65,000 | 1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $20.2K | in 8d |
| ↓ 77,500 | 37% | +7 pts | −5 pts | 36¢ · 37¢ (1¢) | $19.7K | in 8d |
| ↑ 105,000 | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $17.3K | in 8d |
| ↑ 90,000 | 5% | −6 pts | −13 pts | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | $15K | in 8d |
| ↑ 82,500 | 65% | −20 pts | — | 64¢ · 65¢ (1¢) | $14.3K | in 8d |
| ↑ 100,000 | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $14.1K | in 8d |
| ↓ 72,500 | 7% | +2 pts | −5 pts | 7¢ · 7¢ (<1¢) | $12.1K | in 8d |
| ↑ 102,500 | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $10.6K | in 8d |
| ↓ 75,000 | 17% | +4 pts | −7 pts | 16¢ · 17¢ (1¢) | $9.82K | in 8d |
| ↑ 85,000 | 27% | −18 pts | −28 pts | 26¢ · 27¢ (1¢) | $9.53K | in 8d |
| ↑ 92,500 | 3% | −2 pts | −7 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $9.01K | in 8d |
| ↓ 70,000 | 3% | 0 pts | −4 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $7.35K | in 8d |
| ↑ 150,000 | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | $7.01K | in 8d |
| ↓ 67,500 | 1% | 0 pts | −2 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $3.87K | in 8d |
| ↑ 97,500 | 1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $3.78K | in 8d |
| ↓ 60,000 | 1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $3.46K | in 8d |
| ↓ 62,500 | 1% | — | −1 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $1.21K | in 8d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20m | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 82,500 | BuyYes64¢ → 65¢ | $1,002 | +$8 +0.8% | 3 |
| 55m |  ponczyk | ↑ 92,500 | BuyNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,050 | −$2 −0.2% | 2 |
| 3h | Hiiiiiyyy | ↑ 87,500 | BuyNo91¢ | $5,000 | −$19 −0.4% | 3 |
| 4h | Ready-Duckling | ↓ 77,500 | SellYes36¢ → 37¢ | $2,107 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 4h |  Facaie | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo99¢ | $2,940 | −$1 −0.1% | 2 |
| 6h | Worse-Haunt | ↓ 65,000 | SellNo99¢ | $1,576 | +$1 +0.1% | — |
| 6h | HandsomeLi3 fills | ↑ 95,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 99¢ | $7,436 | +$227 +3.0% | 3 |
| 7h | Facaie4 fills | ↑ 100,000 | BuyNo99¢ | $9,427 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 8h | TryingToNotLose | ↑ 87,500 | SellNo87¢ → 91¢ | $1,045 | −$42 −4.0% | — |
| 8h | UPbet3 fills | ↑ 102,500 | BuyNo99¢ | $6,984 | +$22 +0.3% | 2 |
| 9h | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo76¢ → 96¢ | $2,784 | +$722 +26% | 5 |
| 10h | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04528 fills | ↓ 80,000 | BuyYes71¢ → 82¢ | $13,616 | +$2,006 +15% | 7 |
| 12h | PhongLeXBT2 fills | ↑ 85,000 | SellNo61¢ → 74¢ | $2,260 | −$482 −21% | — |
| 13h | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | ↑ 87,500 | BuyNo67¢ → 91¢ | $9,957 | +$3,401 +34% | 7 |
| 14h |  EasyProfit | ↑ 92,500 | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $1,480 | +$16 +1.1% | 2 |
| 15h |  DrTie2 fills | ↑ 87,500 | SellNo75¢ → 91¢ | $7,918 | −$1,599 −20% | — |
| 15h | DrTie | ↑ 85,000 | SellNo58¢ → 74¢ | $1,768 | −$472 −27% | — |
| 16h | qqmupup | ↑ 102,500 | BuyNo99¢ | $3,462 | −$2 −0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | HandsomeLi3 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 97¢ | $5,709 | +$238 +4.2% | 3 |
| 1d | Marioy | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $1,506 | +$14 +1.0% | 3 |
| 1d | Avamax | ↑ 97,500 | BuyNo99¢ | $3,855 | −$2 −0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | KKreturn3 fills | ↑ 87,500 | BuyNo74¢ → 91¢ | $11,868 | +$2,586 +22% | 6 |
| 1d | Ready-Duckling | ↓ 77,500 | BuyYes38¢ → 37¢ | $2,174 | −$86 −3.9% | 6 |
| 1d |  endlesssss2 fills | ↑ 85,000 | SellNo55¢ → 74¢ | $4,925 | −$1,673 −34% | — |
| 1d | NostraMus | ↓ 70,000 | SellNo95¢ → 97¢ | $1,287 | −$23 −1.8% | — |
| 1d | Tokor2 fills | ↑ 87,500 | BuyNo66¢ → 91¢ | $4,196 | +$1,595 +38% | 5 |
| 1d | Tokor | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo59¢ → 74¢ | $7,115 | +$1,749 +25% | 7 |
| 1d | TinaGoat | ↑ 87,500 | SellNo79¢ → 91¢ | $1,361 | −$198 −15% | — |
| 1d | TinaGoat | ↑ 90,000 | SellNo89¢ → 96¢ | $3,063 | −$213 −6.9% | — |
| 1d |  olegs3 fills | ↑ 105,000 | BuyNo99¢ | $24,726 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | 0xf705…3ca74 fills | ↑ 87,500 | SellYes36¢ → 10¢ | $10,623 | +$7,847 +74% | — |
| 1d | beheo123 | ↑ 87,500 | BuyYes22¢ → 10¢ | $1,749 | −$994 −57% | 6 |
| 1d | beheo1232 fills | ↑ 85,000 | BuyYes57¢ → 27¢ | $14,736 | −$7,911 −54% | 7 |
| 1d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo52¢ → 74¢ | $8,547 | +$3,642 +43% | 7 |
| 1d | Facaie | ↑ 97,500 | BuyNo99¢ | $1,287 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | pb7 | ↑ 105,000 | BuyNo99¢ | $1,490 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 1d | werffdsfa | ↑ 97,500 | SellNo99¢ | $1,344 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 2d |  LehmanBrother2.0 | ↑ 87,500 | BuyNo75¢ → 91¢ | $1,712 | +$367 +21% | 3 |
| 2d | duneprod1 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,820 | +$19 +0.7% | 2 |
| 2d |  Rhabarberbarbarbar | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,215 | +$51 +4.2% | 2 |
| 2d | 0xf705…3ca711 fills | ↑ 85,000 | BuyYes80¢ → 27¢ | $34,860 | −$23,369 −67% | 5 |
| 2d | Serene-Decision3 fills | ↓ 67,500 | BuyNo98¢ → 99¢ | $22,962 | +$197 +0.9% | 2 |
| 2d | Serene-Decision | ↑ 92,500 | BuyNo94¢ → 97¢ | $1,160 | +$41 +3.6% | 3 |
| 2d | Serene-Decision3 fills | ↑ 95,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 99¢ | $8,347 | +$234 +2.8% | 3 |
| 2d | Serene-Decision4 fills | ↑ 100,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 99¢ | $19,643 | +$656 +3.3% | 3 |
| 2d | Predictandbreathe | ↑ 87,500 | BuyYes33¢ → 10¢ | $1,518 | −$1,081 −71% | 4 |
| 2d | Noteagle | ↑ 85,000 | SellYes60¢ → 27¢ | $4,337 | +$2,432 +56% | — |
| 2d | Indelible-Roast | ↑ 92,500 | SellNo92¢ → 97¢ | $1,057 | −$61 −5.8% | — |
| 2d | 0xf705…3ca7 | ↓ 75,000 | SellNo92¢ → 84¢ | $1,509 | +$139 +9.2% | — |
| 2d |  Maksimenkov2 fills | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $2,604 | −$2,604 −100% | 4 |
| 2d |  TCBY6688 | ↓ 72,500 | SellNo96¢ → 93¢ | $1,193 | +$41 +3.4% | — |
| 2d | DOWNbet | ↓ 62,500 | BuyNo99¢ | $1,573 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 2d | Rab1 | ↑ 90,000 | SellYes24¢ → 5¢ | $1,619 | +$1,314 +81% | — |
| 2d | Tokor | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $1,927 | +$1,779 +92% | 2 |
| 2d | 24508 | ↓ 62,500 | SellNo99¢ | $1,013 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | 245082 fills | ↓ 72,500 | SellNo83¢ → 93¢ | $2,685 | −$318 −12% | — |
| 2d | endlesssss | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo17¢ → 74¢ | $1,000 | +$3,393 +339% | 4 |
| 2d | 0xf705…3ca710 fills | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo79¢ → 96¢ | $41,095 | +$8,441 +21% | 5 |
| 2d |  Gurupolimarket | ↑ 87,500 | SellYes54¢ → 10¢ | $1,074 | +$885 +82% | — |
| 2d | olegs | ↓ 60,000 | SellNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $2,367 | +$4 +0.2% | — |
erevan4,097 shares
SuckMyDicck4,000 shares
elreptil3,306 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit in October?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 1¢ for ↑ 95,000 means the market gives it about 1%.