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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 98,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −66 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 100,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 86,000 | 0% | — | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 102,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 106,000 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 104,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 84,000 | 0% | — | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 94,000 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 96,000 | 100% | +71 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 278d | ↑ 98,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,752 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 278d | ↓ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,665 | +$17 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 278d | li17 | ↓ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,170 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 278d | li018 | ↓ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,141 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 278d | fei19 | ↓ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,263 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | 00-20 | ↓ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,224 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | shi-027 | ↓ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,220 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | shifei028 | ↓ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,239 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | lifei-29 | ↓ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,207 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | 1-30 | ↓ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,203 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 278d | airdropfarmer69 | ↑ 104,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,194 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 278d | ↓ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,010 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 278d | Kayn | ↓ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,300 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | loveheng | ↓ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,019 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | ↑ 104,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,723 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 278d | ↓ 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,346 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 278d | allen114 | ↓ 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,385 | +$15 +0.6% | 2 |
| 278d | loveheng | ↑ 100,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,493 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 278d | Darrenxiao | ↑ 98,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $10,629 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 278d | lnarix | ↓ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,537 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | ppobb1123 | ↓ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,765 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 278d | 0xgnaht95 | ↑ 98,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,772 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 278d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b8966113 fills | ↑ 98,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $40,788 | +$6,483 +16% | 2 |
| 278d | fionajroberts12 fills | ↓ 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,945 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | mayabuyaoya | ↑ 98,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,353 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 278d | stay4 fills | ↑ 98,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,924 | +$47 +0.2% | 2 |
| 278d | stay | ↑ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,385 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | stay | ↓ 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $11,588 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 278d | Niudad | ↓ 88,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | −$25 −2.3% | — |
| 278d | HuatzTTM | ↑ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | Niudad | ↑ 100,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,000 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 278d | PikaCHU448 | ↑ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,990 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | bean1253 fills | ↑ 98,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,472 | +$99 +0.5% | 2 |
| 278d | bean125 | ↑ 100,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,656 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 278d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896615 fills | ↓ 90,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $13,811 | +$1,656 +12% | 2 |
| 278d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | ↑ 100,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,333 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 278d | Niudad2 fills | ↓ 90,000 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,877 | −$627 −11% | — |
| 278d | yaokan | ↑ 98,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,327 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 |
| 278d | PikaCHU448 | ↓ 88,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,396 | +$145 +1.7% | 2 |
| 278d | Kayn | ↓ 90,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $12,796 | −$217 −1.7% | — |
| 278d | deranged2 fills | ↑ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,649 | +$14 +0.2% | 2 |
| 278d | ah0.1 | ↑ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,601 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | Niudad3 fills | ↓ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,783 | +$51 +0.4% | 2 |
| 278d | bean125 | ↑ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,675 | +$24 +0.2% | 2 |
| 278d | ↓ 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,000 | −$7 −0.1% | — | |
| 278d | Kayn2 fills | ↓ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,000 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | PikaCHU448 | ↓ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | Kayn | ↑ 102,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,900 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | charlie2026 | ↑ 98,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 278d | ↑ 98,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,015 | +$14 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 278d | 12311231232 fills | ↑ 102,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,985 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | Tremendous-Slip | ↑ 98,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,352 | +$14 +1.0% | 2 |
| 278d | ↑ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,068 | +$23 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 278d | stay | ↑ 104,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,991 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | ↑ 104,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 278d | stay2 fills | ↑ 106,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,471 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | PikaCHU448 | ↑ 102,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | ↑ 102,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,900 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 278d | stay | ↓ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,542 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | trader9583 | ↓ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,260 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit January 12-18?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 98,000 means the market gives it about 0%.