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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 62,000 | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 74,000 | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | — | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −11 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −55 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 54,000 | 0% | — | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 52,000 | 0% | — | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 50,000 | 0% | — | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131d |  Rhabarberbarbarbar | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,045 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 131d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $5,353 | +$2,048 +38% | 2 |
| 131d | yaokan | ↓ 60,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,077 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 131d | macann2 fills | ↑ 66,000 | SellYes66¢ → 0¢ | $6,672 | +$6,672 +100% | — |
| 131d |  Tttyh2 fills | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,489 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 131d | Tttyh4 fills | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $27,566 | +$128 +0.5% | 2 |
| 131d | Tttyh4 fills | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,186 | +$27 +0.2% | 2 |
| 131d | yaokan11 fills | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $16,355 | +$370 +2.3% | 2 |
| 131d |  justdance9 fills | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $30,048 | +$8,308 +28% | 2 |
| 131d | yaokan2 fills | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,958 | +$42 +0.7% | 2 |
| 131d | Doomster | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $5,549 | +$28 +0.5% | 2 |
| 132d | lugosix | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,757 | +$73 +4.2% | 2 |
| 132d | Rin2x | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,989 | +$11 +0.5% | 2 |
| 132d | Rin2x | ↑ 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,099 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 132d | Rin2x | ↑ 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 132d | zcxxcc | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,106 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 132d |  qwertyjack2 fills | ↓ 50,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,610 | −$25 −1.0% | — |
| 132d | legacybeacon | ↓ 56,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,181 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 132d | legacybeacon | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,147 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 132d | jytfkuyi | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,212 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 133d | andrez | ↑ 66,000 | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,036 | −$304 −15% | — |
| 133d | kejifuhao | ↓ 54,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,559 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 133d | kelakesen | ↓ 54,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 133d | youdaolihao | ↓ 54,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,993 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 133d | genzheweiweizou | ↓ 54,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 133d | meishipeixiaojiu | ↓ 54,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,995 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 133d | nearping | ↓ 54,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,017 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 133d | hjfdgjnvhgb | ↓ 52,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,231 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 133d | HFDGAADSR | ↓ 52,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,229 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 133d | dwesa | ↓ 50,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,183 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 133d | fdsgfd | ↓ 50,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,769 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 133d | rdfygtfgh | ↓ 50,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,729 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 133d | ghjhgjhgh | ↓ 50,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,634 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 133d | hrhb | ↓ 50,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,704 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 133d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,860 | +$140 +2.9% | 2 |
| 133d | hrhb | ↓ 52,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,752 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 133d | anon.1980.1232 fills | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,547 | +$33 +0.9% | 2 |
| 133d | fewaf | ↓ 52,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,382 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 133d | ewrgtedr | ↓ 52,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,435 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 133d | winwithz | ↓ 52,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,885 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 133d | qwertyjack | ↑ 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,239 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 133d | Gozila | ↓ 50,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,506 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 133d | Overcooked-Spinach | ↓ 52,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,200 | +$11 +0.4% | 2 |
| 134d | yaokan2 fills | ↓ 54,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,405 | +$17 +0.7% | 2 |
| 134d | yaokan | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,826 | +$18 +1.0% | 2 |
| 134d | suntori | ↑ 66,000 | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | −$284 −23% | — |
| 134d | lugosix | ↑ 66,000 | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | −$1,000 −25% | — |
| 134d | andrez | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,130 | +$211 +9.9% | 2 |
| 134d | magcidwa | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,500 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 134d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,784 | +$93 +3.3% | 2 |
| 134d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $6,721 | +$1,505 +22% | 2 |
| 134d | SplendidAmadeus | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,164 | +$391 +12% | 2 |
| 134d | Bigold | ↓ 50,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,583 | +$14 +0.4% | 2 |
| 135d |  timebrotime | ↓ 60,000 | SellNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | −$453 −40% | — |
| 135d | suntori | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,316 | +$179 +14% | 2 |
| 135d | supalien | ↓ 50,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,030 | +$24 +0.5% | 2 |
| 135d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,689 | +$699 +15% | 2 |
| 135d | timebrotime | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | +$356 +29% | 2 |
| 135d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,131 | −$1,131 −100% | 3 |
| 135d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 60,000 | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $3,671 | −$3,671 −100% | 4 |
What price will Bitcoin hit June 8-14?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 62,000 means the market gives it about 100%.