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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 66,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 74,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −56 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | −6 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 54,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201d |  niefeng | ↓ 62,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,248 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 201d | niefeng | ↓ 64,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,032 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 201d |  BlackswanHunter | ↓ 64,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $11,027 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 201d | Marioy | ↓ 62,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,484 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 201d | gumigu001 | ↑ 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,302 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 201d |  PredictionYogi | ↑ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,147 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | dedede306 | ↑ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,054 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | jieya3021 | ↑ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,017 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | dajiahao0322 | ↑ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,016 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | xiaoerlang3-23 | ↑ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,016 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | xiaohuaibi3-24 | ↑ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,014 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | BetYourWifeIfUNeedTo | ↑ 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,130 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 201d |  Tttyh2 fills | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,854 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | rockyyou | ↑ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,187 | +$21 +0.4% | 2 |
| 201d |  upont2 fills | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,573 | +$19 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | 0xbec3…431b | ↑ 70,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,255 | +$25 +2.0% | 2 |
| 201d | upont | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,720 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | upont | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,606 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | Cryptodawg7 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,593 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d |  BarbieKitty | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,536 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d |  MasonLuca | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,544 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d |  FelixNoah | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,549 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d |  LucasAlex | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,566 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d |  GraceLeo | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,555 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d |  ChloeOlivia | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,563 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d |  Hebeen | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,591 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d |  Sofia-Emma | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,573 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | xiaohao023023 | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,844 | +$19 +1.0% | 2 |
| 201d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F7 fills | ↑ 70,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $16,027 | +$766 +4.8% | 2 |
| 201d | cripes32 fills | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,370 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | JUANMAM | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,192 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 201d | JUANMAM | ↑ 70,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,948 | +$46 +2.4% | 2 |
| 201d | upont | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,410 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | suyizi | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,420 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | suyizi | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,642 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | loveheng | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,505 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | jingyu0112 | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,074 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | gumigu001 | ↑ 70,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,969 | +$231 +7.8% | 3 |
| 201d | 788995 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,235 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | hexiaoxiaoe2 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,258 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | wwqq663 | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,211 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | wanzituoaa | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,153 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | hajimia | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,329 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | luludaxoia | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,330 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | baobaaz | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,206 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | grefdd | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,298 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | 23iiasaa2 | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,181 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | Xgs | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,482 | +$15 +0.6% | 2 |
| 201d | ghh53 | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,716 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | zs26 | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,599 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | Originalgangster | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | TheViperX | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | Twelfth12 | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,004 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | Olegbetter1111 | ↑ 70,000 | SellYes40¢ → 0¢ | $2,127 | +$2,127 +100% | — |
| 201d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F4 fills | ↑ 70,000 | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $5,414 | −$5,414 −100% | 6 |
| 201d |  justdance4 fills | ↑ 70,000 | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $7,499 | +$6,897 +92% | 3 |
| 201d | Alanfree | ↑ 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,318 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 201d | 0xzig | ↑ 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,314 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 201d | Tttyh | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,939 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d | Bigold | ↑ 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,829 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
What price will Bitcoin hit March 30-April 5?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 66,000 means the market gives it about 100%.