Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 82,000 | 100% | +16 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 94,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 92,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 66,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 166d | Mad-GranNew account | ↑ 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,240 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | 12808f07 | ↓ 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,678 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | ↑ 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 166d | ↑ 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,035 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 166d | ↓ 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 166d | ↓ 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,991 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 166d | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,191 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 166d | jhkfgyjfjhdfj | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 166d | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,977 | +$23 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 166d | Funboyboy2 fills | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,968 | +$32 +0.3% | 2 |
| 166d | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,518 | +$23 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 166d | Funboyboy | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,664 | +$21 +0.2% | 2 |
| 166d | nomalmaker | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,344 | +$12 +0.5% | 2 |
| 166d | Tianhe | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,989 | +$12 +0.6% | 2 |
| 166d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,468 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 166d | 0x5616…21063 fills | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,600 | +$54 +0.4% | 2 |
| 166d | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,070 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 166d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,435 | +$51 +0.6% | 2 |
| 166d | anon.1980.1233 fills | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $30,703 | +$515 +1.7% | 2 |
| 166d | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,229 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 166d | Doomster | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,418 | +$68 +0.8% | 2 |
| 166d | 0x5616…2106 | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,200 | +$11 +0.3% | 2 |
| 166d | jhkfgyjfjhdfj | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,697 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 166d | 0x5616…2106 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$15 +0.6% | 2 |
| 166d | Kirilli | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,298 | +$23 +1.0% | 2 |
| 166d | Rin2x | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,475 | +$15 +1.0% | 2 |
| 166d | lingke | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,800 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 166d | lingke | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,800 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 166d | magcidwa | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,500 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 167d | jjjclv6 | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,000 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 167d | YautjaPM2 | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,733 | +$20 +0.2% | 2 |
| 167d | badluckeveryday | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,100 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 |
| 167d | lugosix | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,587 | +$55 +2.1% | 2 |
| 167d | 12808f07 | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,600 | +$81 +2.3% | 2 |
| 167d | 2euD | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,386 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 167d | 0x780a…2d1d | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$62 +2.5% | 2 |
| 167d | ↑ 86,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,718 | −$12 −0.7% | — | |
| 167d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,241 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 167d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 88,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,875 | −$40 −0.5% | — |
| 167d | 0x780a…2d1d | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,500 | +$10 +0.4% | 2 |
| 167d | caqiangzouhuo | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$59 +1.5% | 2 |
| 167d | Rin2x2 fills | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,420 | +$80 +1.2% | 2 |
| 167d | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,320 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 167d | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,412 | +$14 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 167d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,621 | +$17 +1.0% | 2 |
| 167d | ↑ 86,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,197 | −$20 −0.9% | — | |
| 167d | assoul | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$62 +3.1% | 2 |
| 167d | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,628 | +$126 +3.5% | 2 | |
| 167d | ↑ 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,619 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 168d | 0xbdab…6c73 | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,826 | +$54 +1.1% | 2 |
| 168d | JHYTRJHFYD | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,078 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 168d | BGHRTESGB | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,163 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 168d | SCTHGTRE | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,077 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 168d | gdfrstg | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,102 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 168d | hjytb | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,081 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 168d | liceOfNice | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$73 +3.3% | 2 |
| 168d | drhtereh | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,155 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 168d | gerwsrsgr | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,134 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 168d | htydrdfg | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,143 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 168d | vgbfdsgbvdf | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,144 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit May 4-10?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 82,000 means the market gives it about 100%.