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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 92,000 | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | — | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −61 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 94,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 96,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 98,000 | 0% | — | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d |  gangwarharshit | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,330 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 5d |  67676767676767676767676767 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,965 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 5d |  eagleandclover | ↓ 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,071 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 5d |  Tttyh | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,652 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 5d | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | ↑ 84,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,560 | −$58 −2.3% | — |
| 5d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,716 | +$635 +37% | 4 |
| 5d | Corny-Mincemeat | ↓ 80,000 | BuyYes27¢ → 0¢ | $2,140 | −$2,140 −100% | 7 |
| 5d | 0xf705…3ca7 | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,299 | +$113 +3.4% | 2 |
| 5d | trx1 | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 |
| 5d | 0xf705…3ca75 fills | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,793 | +$138 +0.9% | 2 |
| 5d |  olegs | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,207 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 5d | 0x2f88…dfd3 | ↓ 80,000 | SellYes30¢ → 0¢ | $2,646 | +$2,646 +100% | — |
| 5d | Navigator77 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,775 | +$37 +1.0% | 2 |
| 5d | Navigator77 | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$96 +1.9% | 2 |
| 5d | 0x2f88…dfd3 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 7 |
| 5d | eagleandclover | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$19 +1.8% | 2 |
| 5d | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | ↓ 80,000 | SellYes23¢ → 0¢ | $3,171 | +$3,171 +100% | — |
| 5d | 0xf705…3ca7 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,179 | +$54 +2.5% | 2 |
| 6d | trx1 | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,137 | +$14 +1.2% | 2 |
| 6d | Candela3 fills | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,447 | +$22 +0.3% | 2 |
| 6d | Glennraven | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,205 | +$11 +0.5% | 2 |
| 6d | Doomster | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,202 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 6d |  Facaie | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,299 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 6d | Tttyh | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,810 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 6d | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | ↓ 80,000 | BuyYes23¢ → 0¢ | $3,266 | −$3,266 −100% | 9 |
| 6d | Candela2 fills | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,917 | +$17 +0.3% | 2 |
| 6d | YautjaPM22 fills | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 6d | YautjaPM22 fills | ↑ 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,585 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 7d | Facaie | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,219 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 7d | Candela | ↑ 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,368 | +$19 +0.2% | 2 |
| 7d | YautjaPM2 | ↑ 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,992 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 7d | YautjaPM2 | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,493 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 7d | Rin2x | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,293 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 7d | beatyesterday | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | +$26 +2.1% | 2 |
| 7d | olegs2 fills | ↑ 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,034 | +$36 +0.5% | 2 |
| 7d | olegs | ↑ 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 8d | yaokan | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 8d | Baristas | ↑ 96,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,412 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 8d | pixelVixen | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$9 +0.8% | 2 |
| 8d | lihai | ↑ 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 8d | Untimely-Kiwi | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,600 | +$65 +1.4% | 2 |
| 8d |  justdance4 fills | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $12,489 | +$6,823 +55% | 3 |
| 8d | fish89753442 fills | ↓ 78,000 | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $2,717 | −$2,717 −100% | 6 |
| 8d | fish8975344 | ↓ 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $17,483 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 8d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 80,000 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $7,220 | +$3,150 +44% | 3 |
| 9d | mingxyz | ↑ 90,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | −$9 −0.9% | — |
| 9d | bbkdlfa | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$9 +0.9% | 2 |
| 9d | babe32e32 | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 9d | Facaie2 fills | ↑ 98,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,695 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 9d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $5,572 | +$736 +13% | 2 |
| 9d | olegs | ↑ 96,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,303 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 9d | lihai | ↑ 94,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 9d | lihai | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$17 +1.7% | 2 |
| 9d | beatyesterday | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,479 | +$91 +2.0% | 2 |
| 9d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $9,455 | +$799 +8.5% | 2 |
| 9d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,357 | +$137 +1.3% | 2 |
| 9d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $16,827 | +$444 +2.6% | 2 |
| 9d | Tokor | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,177 | +$35 +3.0% | 2 |
| 9d | fish8975344 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$1,103 +101% | 3 |
| 9d | justdance3 fills | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $8,292 | −$8,292 −100% | 3 |
cyfra2,181 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit October 12-18?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 78,000 means the market gives it about 0%.