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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 78,000 | 20% | +16 pts | — | 19¢ · 20¢ (1¢) | $142K | in 1d |
| ↓ 76,000 | 5% | +3 pts | — | 5¢ · 5¢ (<1¢) | $75.4K | in 1d |
| ↑ 84,000 | 4% | −6 pts | — | 4¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | $34.9K | in 1d |
| ↑ 86,000 | 1% | −1 pts | — | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $34.4K | in 1d |
| ↑ 82,000 | 24% | −60 pts | — | 23¢ · 24¢ (1¢) | $27.5K | in 1d |
| ↓ 74,000 | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $26.5K | in 1d |
| ↓ 72,000 | <1% | −1 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $16.5K | in 1d |
| ↑ 88,000 | <1% | −1 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $10.1K | in 1d |
| ↑ 94,000 | <1% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $7.93K | in 1d |
| ↑ 90,000 | <1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $5.79K | in 1d |
| ↓ 70,000 | <1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $5.59K | in 1d |
| ↑ 92,000 | <1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $5.53K | in 1d |
| ↑ 96,000 | <1% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $4.03K | in 1d |
| ↓ 68,000 | <1% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $1.69K | in 1d |
| ↓ 80,000 | 86% | — | — | 85¢ · 86¢ (1¢) | — | in 1d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | 0xf705…3ca7 | ↓ 78,000 | BuyYes28¢ → 20¢ | $2,134 | −$653 −31% | 7 |
| 1h | Marioy | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 95¢ | $1,156 | +$41 +3.5% | 2 |
| 1h | suntori | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo56¢ → 80¢ | $2,804 | +$1,195 +43% | 4 |
| 1h | ↓ 78,000 | SellYes44¢ → 20¢ | $3,117 | +$1,718 +55% | — | |
| 1h | Rectangular-Audit | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo58¢ → 80¢ | $1,100 | +$430 +39% | 3 |
| 1h | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | ↓ 78,000 | BuyYes49¢ → 20¢ | $6,168 | −$3,708 −60% | 4 |
| 1h | Silent-Capitulation | ↓ 78,000 | BuyYes51¢ → 20¢ | $1,024 | −$630 −62% | 3 |
| 1h | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | ↓ 78,000 | SellYes28¢ → 20¢ | $4,840 | +$1,437 +30% | — |
| 2h | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,965 | −$20 −1.0% | — | |
| 2h | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,824 | +$131 +7.2% | 2 | |
| 3h | 0xf705…3ca7 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo80¢ → 77¢ | $2,724 | −$119 −4.4% | 4 |
| 4h | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25? | SellYes46¢ → 100¢ | $8,728 | −$10,061 −115% | — | |
| 5h | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,554 | −$0 −0.0% | 2 | |
| 6h | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25? | SellNo34¢ → 0¢ | $3,194 | +$3,194 +100% | — | |
| 7h | ↓ 78,000 | SellNo90¢ → 80¢ | $1,098 | +$118 +11% | — | |
| 8h | ↑ 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,664 | −$1 −0.1% | 2 | |
| 10h | beatyesterday | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ | $1,407 | −$5 −0.4% | 2 |
| 13h | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,194 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 15h | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,045 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 15h | fred4332 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25? | SellYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | −$1,227 −105% | — |
| 17h | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 80¢ | $2,498 | −$256 −10% | 2 |
| 18h | fred4332 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25? | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,721 | +$679 +39% | 4 |
| 18h | 0xf705…3ca7 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25? | SellYes53¢ → 100¢ | $3,766 | −$3,339 −89% | — |
| 19h | allen114 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25? | SellNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,476 | +$1,476 +100% | — |
| 22h | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25? | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $7,331 | −$7,331 −100% | 4 | |
| 22h | Pellepele2 fills | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 99¢ | $2,414 | +$23 +1.0% | 2 |
| 23h | 0xf705…3ca7 | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,032 | +$7 +0.7% | 2 |
| 23h | yaokan4 fills | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 99¢ | $10,800 | +$172 +1.6% | 3 |
| 1d | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25? | BuyYes23¢ → 100¢ | $3,417 | +$11,708 +343% | 10 |
| 1d | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 80¢ | $1,165 | −$173 −15% | 2 | |
| 1d | fjdklskfd | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,000 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 1d | haonanaaaa | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,500 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 1d | zuihouyige | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $2,000 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 1d | newbeginning2 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 19-25? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,818 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | Meaty-Pseudoscience | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 19-25? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,047 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 1d | 0xf705…3ca73 fills | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo98¢ → >99¢ | $9,340 | +$135 +1.4% | 2 |
| 1d | 0x9e2d…b311 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25? | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $1,115 | −$1,115 −100% | 3 |
| 1d | Rectangular-Audit | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25? | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 3 |
| 2d | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | ↓ 74,000 | SellNo98¢ → 99¢ | $13,784 | −$69 −0.5% | — |
| 2d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 99¢ | $1,475 | +$11 +0.7% | 2 |
| 2d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo95¢ | $8,557 | +$26 +0.3% | 2 |
| 2d | Untimely-Kiwi | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo98¢ → >99¢ | $2,925 | +$69 +2.4% | 2 |
| 2d | ↓ 78,000 | SellNo84¢ → 80¢ | $1,007 | +$44 +4.4% | — | |
| 2d | beatyesterday2 fills | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $8,176 | +$75 +0.9% | 2 |
| 2d | Candela | ↑ 92,000 | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,968 | +$23 +0.4% | 2 |
| 2d | Candela | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,195 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 2d | Untimely-Kiwi | ↑ 92,000 | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $9,334 | +$80 +0.9% | 2 |
| 2d | 0xf705…3ca73 fills | ↑ 92,000 | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $20,822 | +$250 +1.2% | 2 |
| 2d | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25? | BuyNo56¢ → 0¢ | $5,040 | −$5,040 −100% | 4 | |
| 2d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25? | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $2,141 | +$2,837 +133% | 4 |
| 2d | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 95¢ | $1,185 | −$15 −1.3% | 2 | |
| 2d | Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 October 19-25? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,718 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 2d | 0xf705…3ca7 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25? | SellNo89¢ → 0¢ | $6,319 | +$6,319 +100% | — |
| 2d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 92,000 | BuyNo98¢ → >99¢ | $6,559 | +$129 +2.0% | 2 |
| 2d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | ↑ 94,000 | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $3,976 | +$35 +0.9% | 2 |
| 2d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo94¢ → >99¢ | $4,994 | +$294 +5.9% | 3 |
| 3d | 0xf705…3ca7 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25? | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $8,767 | −$8,767 −100% | 3 |
| 3d | 0xf705…3ca7 | ↑ 88,000 | BuyYes22¢ → <1¢ | $1,597 | −$1,583 −99% | 8 |
| 3d | beatyesterday3 fills | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 99¢ | $20,818 | +$101 +0.5% | 2 |
| 3d | 0xf705…3ca73 fills | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 99¢ | $20,704 | +$350 +1.7% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 20¢ for ↓ 78,000 means the market gives it about 20%.