Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 73,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 74,000 | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 75,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 67,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 66,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 65,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195d | onnii | ↑ 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,149 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Gulvisa8 | ↑ 75,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,291 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Tianhe | ↓ 71,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,800 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 195d | Dense-Muscat | ↑ 75,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,168 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | lnarix2 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,406 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 195d | lajiawu | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,084 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 195d |  Tttyh | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,315 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 195d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ 71,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,992 | +$55 +2.8% | 2 |
| 195d | Funboyboy3 fills | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,289 | +$61 +0.3% | 2 |
| 195d | Reflecting-CivilianNew account | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,129 | +$14 +1.2% | 2 |
| 195d | bean125 | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,039 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 195d | Tttyh | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,272 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 195d | sala72 | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,812 | +$59 +1.0% | 2 |
| 195d | Tttyh | ↓ 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,176 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | 0x4773…22892 fills | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,269 | +$190 +5.8% | 2 |
| 195d | ace | ↓ 72,000 | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,750 | −$732 −42% | — |
| 195d | Mizukaze2 fills | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,891 | +$21 +0.3% | 2 |
| 195d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↓ 72,000 | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,852 | +$997 +54% | 5 |
| 195d | Mizukaze | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,350 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 195d | Mizukaze | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,831 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 195d | Tttyh | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,591 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 195d | xiaohao023 | ↓ 71,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,146 | +$19 +0.9% | 2 |
| 195d | xiaohao023023 | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $2,738 | +$14 +0.5% | 2 |
| 195d | GoingGangrene | ↓ 71,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | +$11 +0.9% | 2 |
| 195d | pengpeng666 | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,205 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 |
| 195d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $3,927 | +$1,806 +46% | 4 |
| 195d | charlie2026 | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,125 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 195d | kederrac | ↑ 74,000 | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $942 | −$942 −100% | 4 |
| 195d | Gulvisa8 | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,943 | +$329 +6.7% | 2 |
| 195d | kuangdebiao | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,033 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 195d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | ↑ 74,000 | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $4,147 | −$4,147 −100% | 4 |
| 195d | Winding-Assessment | ↓ 71,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,122 | +$38 +1.2% | 2 |
| 195d |  kinderSman3 fills | ↑ 73,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $24,120 | +$64 +0.3% | 2 |
| 195d | Humongous-FlyNew account | ↑ 73,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,330 | +$30 +1.3% | 2 |
| 195d |  justdance | ↓ 72,000 | BuyYes22¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | +$4,076 +355% | 5 |
| 195d | Dense-Muscat | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,088 | +$78 +2.5% | 2 |
| 195d | Candela2 fills | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,171 | +$25 +0.4% | 2 |
| 195d | YautjaPM2 | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,985 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 195d | Candela | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,794 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 195d | Candela | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,991 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 195d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 195d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,997 | +$21 +1.1% | 2 |
| 195d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↓ 71,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,816 | +$161 +5.7% | 2 |
| 196d | Funboyboy | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,308 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 196d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,249 | +$19 +1.5% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on April 11?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 73,000 means the market gives it about 100%.