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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 71,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 75,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 74,000 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 73,000 | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | −69 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 67,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 66,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 65,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 194d | GoingGangrene2 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,392 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 194d | lnarix | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,852 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | lnarix | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | lnarix | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,740 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | Funboyboy | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,364 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 194d | Mizukaze | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,371 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 194d | Predict90 | ↓ 69,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,112 | −$15 −1.3% | — |
| 194d | Mizukaze2 fills | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,322 | +$54 +0.4% | 2 |
| 194d | Mizukaze | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,555 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | Deafening-Refund | ↑ 72,000 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,176 | −$276 −8.7% | — |
| 194d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F3 fills | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $35,389 | +$35 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | lot-2082 fills | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $44,364 | +$44 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | 8848meters | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,084 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 194d | collided6 fills | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $31,334 | +$62 +0.2% | 2 |
| 194d | collided | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,154 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | mathiinfo | ↓ 70,000 | SellYes39¢ → 0¢ | $1,081 | +$1,081 +100% | — |
| 194d | Winding-Assessment | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $996 | +$29 +2.9% | 2 |
| 194d | xiaohao023023 | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,950 | +$21 +0.7% | 2 |
| 194d | bean125 | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,697 | +$23 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d |  justdance3 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $7,487 | +$3,809 +51% | 5 |
| 194d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↓ 70,000 | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $949 | −$949 −100% | 5 |
| 194d | charlie2026 | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,128 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 194d |  walnascar | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,503 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | collided | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,544 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | Winding-Assessment | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,995 | +$32 +1.6% | 2 |
| 194d | ace | ↓ 70,000 | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,879 | −$593 −32% | — |
| 194d | justdance | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,877 | +$250 +8.7% | 3 |
| 194d | ace | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,925 | +$676 +35% | 4 |
| 195d | bean1252 fills | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,982 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 195d | justdance3 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $4,577 | −$4,577 −100% | 10 |
| 195d | Funboyboy | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,233 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 195d | 0xe617…f251 | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | +$97 +6.5% | 2 |
| 195d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,497 | +$23 +1.5% | 2 |
| 195d | Deafening-Refund | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$772 +69% | 4 |
| 195d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↓ 71,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,863 | +$119 +4.2% | 2 |
| 195d | yp990406 | ↓ 71,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,983 | +$123 +3.1% | 2 |
| 195d | YautjaPM2 | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,993 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 195d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$89 +8.1% | 2 |
| 195d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,183 | +$55 +2.5% | 2 |
| 195d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,567 | +$33 +1.3% | 2 |
bjprolo30 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on April 12?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 71,000 means the market gives it about 100%.