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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 75,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 74,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 73,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 66,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 67,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 65,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 193d | allback | ↑ 75,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,176 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 193d | 0x4349…6bbd | ↑ 75,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,231 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 193d | 12QWAQA | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,208 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 193d | Dense-Muscat | ↑ 75,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,563 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 193d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,407 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 193d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,365 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 193d | Mizukaze | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,883 | +$29 +0.3% | 2 |
| 193d | 0x4349…6bbd | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | +$109 +11% | 3 |
| 193d |  Tttyh2 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,537 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 193d | lnarix3 fills | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,624 | +$23 +0.1% | 2 |
| 193d | lnarix | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,652 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 193d | vetmin | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,258 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 193d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $3,442 | +$2,218 +64% | 5 |
| 193d | xiaohao023 | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,350 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 193d | xiaohao023023 | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 193d | bean1253 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $17,976 | +$104 +0.6% | 2 |
| 193d |  justdance | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,215 | +$92 +7.6% | 3 |
| 193d |  korya | ↑ 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,779 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 193d | Stark-Name | ↑ 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,625 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 193d | IH2P | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | +$654 +62% | 5 |
| 193d | justdance3 fills | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $4,553 | +$3,146 +69% | 5 |
| 193d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↑ 75,000 | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,021 | −$1,021 −100% | 5 |
| 193d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | ↑ 74,000 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $4,250 | +$1,495 +35% | 4 |
| 193d | justdance | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo22¢ → 0¢ | $1,148 | −$1,148 −100% | 5 |
| 193d | bean125 | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,854 | +$24 +0.4% | 2 |
| 193d | bean125 | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,004 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 193d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $3,985 | −$3,985 −100% | 4 |
| 193d | cryptomaster22 | ↑ 73,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,246 | +$23 +1.0% | 2 |
| 193d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↑ 73,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,897 | +$90 +3.1% | 2 |
| 193d | lot-208 | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,458 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 193d | lajiawu | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,085 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 193d | lot-208 | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,568 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 193d | Dense-Muscat | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,513 | +$54 +1.5% | 2 |
| 193d | Winding-Assessment | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,428 | +$18 +0.5% | 2 |
| 193d | Deafening-Refund | ↑ 73,000 | SellNo62¢ → 0¢ | $3,083 | +$3,083 +100% | — |
| 193d | 0x9429…c151 | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $1,447 | −$1,447 −100% | 4 |
| 193d | Smilemore123 | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 0¢ | $1,063 | −$1,063 −100% | 2 |
| 193d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,995 | +$35 +1.2% | 2 |
| 193d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,998 | +$15 +0.5% | 2 |
| 193d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,992 | +$58 +1.9% | 2 |
| 193d | Humongous-FlyNew account | ↑ 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,996 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 193d |  bcnboy | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,268 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 193d | Humongous-FlyNew account | ↑ 72,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,992 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 193d | C97d | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,049 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 193d | 0xe79f…6311 | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,005 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 193d | 1702 | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,029 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 194d | onnii | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 0¢ | $1,025 | −$1,025 −100% | 2 |
| 194d |  niefeng | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 0¢ | $1,297 | −$1,297 −100% | 2 |
| 194d | allback | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,580 | +$18 +1.1% | 2 |
| 194d | Candela | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,246 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on April 13?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 75,000 means the market gives it about 0%.