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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 77,000 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 75,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −57 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 67,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 192d | fireatwill6 | ↑ 77,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,002 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 192d | allback | ↓ 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,213 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 192d | Dense-Muscat | ↑ 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,258 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 192d | Funboyboy2 fills | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,832 | +$32 +0.2% | 2 |
| 192d | 0x9429…c151 | ↑ 77,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,577 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 192d |  Tttyh | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,928 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 192d | Mizukaze2 fills | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,409 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 192d | bean125 | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,134 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 192d | xiaohao023 | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,019 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 192d | xiaohao023023 | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,958 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 192d | vetmin | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,262 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 192d | JIUSHENzhou | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $999 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 192d | nomalmaker | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,983 | +$15 +0.5% | 2 |
| 192d | suyizi | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,389 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 192d | lot-208 | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,577 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 192d | Winding-Assessment | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,464 | +$30 +0.9% | 2 |
| 192d | deranged | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,192 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 192d | Chinspy | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,218 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 192d | wonpi | ↓ 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,200 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 192d | bean125 | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,059 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 192d | bean125 | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,109 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 192d | Humongous-FlyNew account | ↓ 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,087 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 192d |  its-fine-tbh | ↓ 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,542 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 192d | Humongous-FlyNew account | ↓ 74,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | +$26 +2.4% | 2 |
| 192d | YautjaPM2 | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,893 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 192d | 0x9429…c151 | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,846 | +$686 +18% | 3 |
| 192d | Dense-Muscat | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,171 | +$85 +2.7% | 2 |
| 192d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↓ 74,000 | BuyYes42¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | +$1,393 +138% | 4 |
| 192d | Deafening-Refund | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $4,146 | +$1,612 +39% | 4 |
| 192d |  korya | ↑ 77,000 | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,405 | −$1,405 −100% | 5 |
| 192d | allen111 | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo84¢ → 0¢ | $4,826 | −$4,826 −100% | 3 |
| 192d |  Boss7 | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,974 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 192d |  justdance | ↑ 76,000 | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | +$1,644 +150% | 4 |
| 192d | Candela | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,445 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 193d | fireatwill6 | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,379 | +$157 +11% | 3 |
MyLastStand210 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on April 14?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 77,000 means the market gives it about 0%.