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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 76,000 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 75,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 67,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 191d | Timely-ExpansionismNew account | ↓ 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,004 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 191d | Dense-Muscat | ↑ 77,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,329 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 191d |  upont | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,866 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 191d | jhkfgyjfjhdfj2 fills | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,366 | +$20 +0.2% | 2 |
| 191d | lnarix | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,737 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 191d | Funboyboy2 fills | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,526 | +$118 +0.8% | 2 |
| 191d | Mizukaze | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,083 | +$28 +0.4% | 2 |
| 191d | Mizukaze | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 191d | lnarix | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,986 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 191d | lnarix | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,621 | +$16 +0.1% | 2 |
| 191d |  pednbdy | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,297 | +$22 +1.7% | 2 |
| 191d | Wordy-Direction | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,522 | +$18 +0.4% | 2 |
| 191d | 8848meters | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,121 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 191d | vetmin | ↓ 71,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,261 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 191d |  Tttyh | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,474 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 191d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,203 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 191d | loveheng | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,536 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 191d | jingyu0112 | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,180 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 191d | 0x4773…2289 | ↑ 76,000 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,302 | −$98 −7.5% | — |
| 191d | pengpeng666 | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,695 | +$36 +2.1% | 2 |
| 191d | xiaohao023 | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,065 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 191d | xiaohao023023 | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,599 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 191d |  justdance9 fills | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $32,845 | +$5,796 +18% | 3 |
| 191d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $5,580 | +$1,667 +30% | 4 |
| 191d | Solmaxi8888.sol | ↓ 71,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,391 | +$15 +1.1% | 2 |
| 191d | Repulsive-Member | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,947 | +$402 +10% | 3 |
| 191d | Winding-Assessment | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,589 | +$27 +0.8% | 2 |
| 191d | bean125 | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,301 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 191d | Humongous-FlyNew account | ↑ 75,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,799 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 191d | mathiinfo | ↑ 75,000 | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,403 | −$600 −25% | — |
| 191d | justdance | ↓ 73,000 | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,531 | −$1,531 −100% | 6 |
| 191d | 0x9429…c151 | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $4,302 | −$4,302 −100% | 4 |
| 192d | Dense-Muscat | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,287 | +$42 +1.3% | 2 |
| 192d | allen111 | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $3,415 | −$3,415 −100% | 4 |
| 192d |  quantam | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $18,505 | +$852 +4.6% | 2 |
| 192d | Deafening-Refund | ↓ 72,000 | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $4,988 | −$880 −18% | — |
| 192d | Deafening-Refund2 fills | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $4,181 | +$714 +17% | 3 |
| 192d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↓ 71,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,381 | +$104 +7.5% | 2 |
| 192d |  korya | ↓ 73,000 | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $1,136 | −$1,136 −100% | 4 |
| 192d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,789 | +$19 +1.1% | 2 |
| 192d | allback | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,498 | +$14 +0.9% | 2 |
| 192d | Tingyi1026 | ↓ 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,044 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on April 15?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 76,000 means the market gives it about 0%.