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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 76,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 67,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 75,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 190d | allback | ↑ 79,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,272 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 190d | Dense-Muscat | ↑ 77,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,405 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 190d |  Tttyh2 fills | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,963 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 190d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,109 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 190d | lnarix2 fills | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,651 | +$23 +0.1% | 2 |
| 190d | Mizukaze3 fills | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,028 | +$86 +0.6% | 2 |
| 190d | Funboyboy5 fills | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $27,336 | +$91 +0.3% | 2 |
| 190d | jhkfgyjfjhdfj | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,694 | +$41 +1.5% | 2 |
| 190d | Tianhe | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,973 | +$28 +1.4% | 2 |
| 190d | Tttyh2 fills | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,006 | +$21 +0.1% | 2 |
| 190d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,937 | +$81 +2.8% | 2 |
| 190d | xiaohao023 | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,677 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 190d | xiaohao023023 | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,156 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 190d | nomalmaker | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,052 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 190d | Deafening-Refund | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,816 | +$19 +1.0% | 2 |
| 190d | suyizi | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,067 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 190d | ppobb1123 | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,060 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 190d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,288 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 190d | sjd | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,890 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 190d | Winding-Assessment | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,639 | +$48 +1.3% | 2 |
| 190d | allen111 | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,431 | +$539 +9.9% | 3 |
| 190d | Tttyh | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,441 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 190d | jingyu0112 | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,182 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 190d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,038 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 190d | loveheng | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,538 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 190d | allen1142 fills | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $10,129 | +$1,514 +15% | 3 |
| 190d | datajesse | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$340 +33% | 4 |
| 190d |  Yiyou | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,287 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 190d | Yiyou | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,342 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 190d | Yiyou | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 190d | Deafening-Refund2 fills | ↑ 76,000 | SellNo71¢ → 100¢ | $6,144 | −$2,523 −41% | — |
| 190d | 0xe617…f251 | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,992 | +$56 +1.1% | 2 |
| 190d | 0x4773…2289 | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,417 | +$72 +3.0% | 2 |
| 190d | Dense-Muscat | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,317 | +$86 +2.6% | 2 |
| 190d |  korya | ↓ 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,226 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 190d | Deafening-Refund | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | +$110 +7.5% | 2 |
| 190d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | +$40 +3.6% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on April 16?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 76,000 means the market gives it about 0%.