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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 188d | Timely-ExpansionismNew account | ↑ 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,020 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 188d | Dense-Muscat | ↓ 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,199 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 188d | jhkfgyjfjhdfj2 fills | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,447 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 188d | guangtouqiang310 | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,052 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 188d |  meowmers | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,673 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 188d | jhkfgyjfjhdfj | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,113 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 188d | Funboyboy | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,854 | +$24 +0.4% | 2 |
| 188d | Mizukaze2 fills | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,480 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 188d |  Tttyh2 fills | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,712 | +$19 +0.2% | 2 |
| 188d | Tianhe | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,226 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 188d | allen114 | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,527 | +$309 +5.6% | 2 |
| 188d | Tttyh4 fills | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $47,648 | +$51 +0.1% | 2 |
| 188d | Tttyh2 fills | ↑ 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $10,410 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 188d | xiaohao023023 | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,529 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 188d | xiaohao023 | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,973 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 188d | Tttyh2 fills | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $54,081 | +$54 +0.1% | 2 |
| 188d | bean125 | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,158 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 188d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,827 | +$47 +0.8% | 2 |
| 188d |  korya | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | +$43 +4.3% | 2 |
| 189d | Dense-Muscat | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,102 | +$93 +3.0% | 2 |
| 189d |  sspcap | ↓ 76,000 | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | −$269 −23% | — |
| 189d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ 76,000 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,442 | +$533 +37% | 4 |
| 189d | Deafening-Refund | ↓ 76,000 | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $2,471 | +$2,191 +89% | 4 |
| 189d | Deafening-Refund | ↓ 76,000 | SellNo47¢ → 0¢ | $1,290 | +$1,290 +100% | — |
| 189d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$28 +2.8% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on April 18?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 75,000 means the market gives it about 0%.