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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 187d | Timely-ExpansionismNew account | ↑ 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,293 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 187d | Dense-Muscat | ↓ 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,284 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 187d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,047 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 187d | 8848meters | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,152 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 187d | lnarix | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,046 | +$25 +0.1% | 2 |
| 187d | GoingGangrene | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,217 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 187d | Funboyboy5 fills | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $38,091 | +$128 +0.3% | 2 |
| 187d | lnarix | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,427 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 187d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,498 | +$14 +0.9% | 2 |
| 187d | Mizukaze | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,229 | +$23 +0.3% | 2 |
| 187d | Mizukaze | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,887 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 |
| 187d | Kayn2 fills | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,200 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 187d | ukinuno | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 187d | rittterditter | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,302 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 187d | Knowledgeable-Stem | ↑ 79,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,716 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 187d | Anjiki | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,932 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 187d | anon.1980.1234 fills | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $16,227 | +$473 +2.9% | 2 |
| 187d |  Tttyh | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,863 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 187d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F3 fills | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $30,765 | +$31 +0.1% | 2 |
| 187d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 78,000 | SellNo100¢ | $1,990 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 187d | maxsss | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,881 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 187d | 0x9ffe…41d0 | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,188 | +$50 +2.3% | 2 |
| 187d | anon.1980.1232 fills | ↓ 73,000 | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $4,923 | −$1,921 −39% | — |
| 187d | thickk | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,067 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 187d | mallemaarten | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,960 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 187d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,378 | +$20 +0.6% | 2 |
| 187d | xiaohao023 | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,486 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 187d | xiaohao023023 | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,047 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 187d | ola9 fills | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $60,677 | +$67 +0.1% | 2 |
| 187d |  justdance | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,432 | +$396 +7.3% | 3 |
| 187d | Tttyh | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,813 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 187d | Humongous-FlyNew account | ↓ 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,901 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 187d | ola | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,999 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 187d | mathiinfo | ↓ 74,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,202 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 187d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | ↓ 74,000 | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $2,949 | +$1,790 +61% | 4 |
| 187d | Winding-Assessment | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,839 | +$121 +3.2% | 2 |
| 187d | Knowledgeable-Stem | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$9 +0.8% | 2 |
| 187d |  leleko2k | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 188d |  korya | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$112 +9.9% | 3 |
| 188d | Dense-Muscat | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,185 | +$96 +3.0% | 2 |
| 188d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,142 | +$296 +4.8% | 2 |
| 188d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,021 | +$301 +4.3% | 2 |
| 188d | YautjaPM2 | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,376 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 188d |  walnascar | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,011 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 188d | Deafening-Refund | ↑ 77,000 | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $3,485 | −$1,162 −33% | — |
| 188d | Deafening-Refund | ↓ 73,000 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,431 | −$347 −6.4% | — |
| 188d | Deafening-Refund | ↓ 74,000 | SellNo80¢ → 0¢ | $1,183 | +$1,183 +100% | — |
| 188d |  Sta123123cxz | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,483 | −$1,483 −100% | 4 |
| 188d | Deafening-Refund | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,774 | +$197 +11% | 3 |
| 188d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ 75,000 | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,934 | +$578 +30% | 4 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on April 19?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 73,000 means the market gives it about 0%.