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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −57 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 67,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 75,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 186d | lnarix | ↓ 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,006 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 186d | Dense-Muscat | ↓ 73,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,609 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 186d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,678 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 186d | GoingGangrene | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,791 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | GoingGangrene | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,277 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 186d | bhkMarvin | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,392 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | Mizukaze3 fills | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,682 | +$89 +0.6% | 2 |
| 186d | hjkjhgfds | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,084 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | sdfghcasdf | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,064 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | dghjghgfds | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,068 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | sdfgfhjhgfd | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,064 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | ojgeirojger | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,054 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | dfghjfder | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,063 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | wjhiewogjerg | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,054 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | rhjkjhgfd | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,063 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | rtyjkjhf | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,064 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | sfhnfdsd | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,063 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | rtyugfd | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,063 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | jigoejhrgoerg | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,054 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | sfdgfhjg | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,059 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | qjfiosdjger | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,063 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | sdfghhgd | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,062 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | jiojgergeg | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,052 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | sdfghjhg | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,060 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | ngoireerjpger | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,072 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | jfioajgoaerg | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,060 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | bjvbjkmbmdf | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,067 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | nbrgjknlkfgm | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,067 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | nfhkjsnglkdgb | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,066 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | kjgnklgbfdb | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,066 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | jhfbkjbd | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,072 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | dbkmnndb | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,088 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | jhvdbkvdjfb | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,073 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | kjbnhkjbgnfb | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,072 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | dsfghfds | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,831 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | Deafening-Refund | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,602 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 |
| 186d | DVXCVFVFD | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,062 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 186d | SXDVXCFBCVBN | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,066 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 186d | ZDVXVXVXCVCXV | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,067 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | XDVFVBDFB | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,069 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | BCFBCBDB | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,075 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,538 | +$171 +3.1% | 2 |
| 186d | BFDBCVBCFG | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,069 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | CBGFBGDBCV | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,071 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 186d | BCFGBFBFB | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,068 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 187d | DFBGBGFBG | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,063 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 187d | VDBDBGFB | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,073 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 187d | DZBNFXGNFXHN | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,068 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 187d | DFBXFGBGDFXNG | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,066 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 187d | HNXFFGNFGH | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,066 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 187d | FNFGNVGVBN | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,068 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 187d | NFGNHGN | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,081 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 187d | DNFBNFGNFGBN | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,073 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 187d | FNXNGHN | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,073 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 187d | FNGVBNBGFN | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,105 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 187d | VNGHNFGN | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,075 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 187d | NFGGHNHGN | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,071 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 187d |  Tttyh | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,177 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 187d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,760 | +$106 +1.8% | 2 |
| 187d | xiaohao023 | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,490 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on April 20?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 74,000 means the market gives it about 0%.