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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 67,000 | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 66,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 65,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 73,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 74,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 75,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200d |  upont | ↓ 62,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 200d |  niefeng | ↓ 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,024 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 200d | niefeng | ↓ 65,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,119 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 200d | Reckless-Preservation | ↑ 71,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,007 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 200d | 00030035 | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,011 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 200d | upont | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,073 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 200d | upont | ↓ 67,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $17,077 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 200d |  Tttyh | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,521 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 200d | upont | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,076 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 200d | LOVE5580 | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,791 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 200d | lnarix | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,388 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 200d | Marioy | ↑ 71,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 200d | lnarix | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,997 | +$22 +0.1% | 2 |
| 200d | Mizukaze3 fills | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,830 | +$106 +0.8% | 2 |
| 200d | LOVE5580 | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,498 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 200d | LOVE5580 | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,299 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 200d | Tingyi1026 | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,915 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 200d | xiaohao023 | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 200d | Thin-Print5 fills | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $21,301 | +$2,144 +10% | 3 |
| 200d | Candela | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,898 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 200d | upont | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,061 | +$19 +0.1% | 2 |
| 200d | upont | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,334 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 200d | Thin-Print7 fills | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $28,689 | +$1,798 +6.3% | 2 |
| 200d | Thin-Print2 fills | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,838 | +$192 +1.4% | 2 |
| 200d | Thin-Print2 fills | ↓ 68,000 | SellNo56¢ → 100¢ | $5,991 | −$4,741 −79% | — |
| 200d | Thin-Print2 fills | ↑ 71,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $12,945 | +$486 +3.8% | 2 |
| 200d | Tttyh | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,434 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 200d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $3,466 | +$2,106 +61% | 5 |
| 200d | ah0.1 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,224 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 200d | charlie2026 | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 200d | rockyyou | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,999 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 200d | Thin-Print | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,765 | +$85 +1.3% | 2 |
| 200d | guilianellikarpinskyzauo994 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,008 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 200d | rockyyou | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,213 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 200d | YautjaPM2 | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,095 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 200d |  bcnboy | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 201d |  poorersob | ↓ 67,000 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,850 | −$503 −10% | — |
| 201d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,518 | +$175 +3.9% | 2 |
| 201d |  justdance | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,161 | +$48 +4.2% | 2 |
| 201d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F3 fills | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,112 | +$249 +4.9% | 2 |
| 201d | Deafening-Refund | ↑ 71,000 | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | −$856 −39% | — |
| 201d | Deafening-Refund | ↑ 71,000 | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | +$789 +72% | 4 |
| 201d | WealthyMind | ↑ 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,350 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 201d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,177 | +$20 +1.7% | 2 |
| 201d | Funboyboy | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,766 | +$31 +0.8% | 2 |
| 201d | Funboyboy3 fills | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,645 | +$18 +0.5% | 2 |
| 201d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,227 | +$13 +1.1% | 2 |
| 201d | niefeng | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$22 +2.0% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on April 6?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 67,000 means the market gives it about 0%.