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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 73,000 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 74,000 | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 67,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 75,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 65,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 66,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 198d | 0x9429…c151 | ↑ 73,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,359 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 198d | sala72 | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,119 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 198d | li0030037 | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,013 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 198d | Mizukaze3 fills | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,701 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 198d |  Tttyh | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 198d | Smilemore123 | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,564 | +$32 +2.0% | 2 |
| 198d | LOVE5580 | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,992 | +$55 +0.6% | 2 |
| 198d | Tttyh | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,429 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 198d | rockyyou | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,284 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 198d | lnarix | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,203 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 |
| 198d | lnarix | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,145 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 198d | xiaohao023 | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,014 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 198d | bean125 | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,486 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 198d | ReNtHaL | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,927 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 198d | YautjaPM2 | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,408 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 198d | Candela3 fills | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $6,960 | +$35 +0.5% | 2 |
| 198d | Candela | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,441 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 198d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $5,292 | +$2,417 +46% | 4 |
| 198d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,317 | +$99 +7.5% | 2 |
| 198d | Winding-Assessment | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,791 | +$63 +2.2% | 2 |
| 198d | allen114 | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,253 | +$171 +5.3% | 2 |
| 198d | ah0.1 | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,257 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 198d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $7,266 | +$484 +6.7% | 2 |
| 198d | 0x9429…c151 | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$295 +28% | 3 |
| 198d | bhkMarvin | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,149 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 198d |  Boss7 | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,292 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 198d | UR01 | ↓ 70,000 | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $2,103 | −$2,103 −100% | 6 |
| 198d | 0xe617…f251 | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | +$9 +0.6% | 2 |
| 198d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 198d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ 71,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,202 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 198d | Cactus-001 | ↓ 71,000 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $3,891 | +$913 +23% | 3 |
| 198d | Candela | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,993 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 198d | Candela | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,777 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 198d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,323 | +$233 +18% | 3 |
| 198d | Deafening-Refund | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $3,455 | +$1,344 +39% | 4 |
| 199d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,966 | +$30 +1.5% | 2 |
| 199d | valdeande | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,013 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 199d | Funboyboy | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,783 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 199d | Funboyboy | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,260 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 199d | Funboyboy | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,269 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 199d |  niefeng | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,546 | +$15 +1.0% | 2 |
| 199d | YautjaPM2 | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,893 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 199d | kederrac | ↑ 73,000 | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $962 | −$962 −100% | 4 |
| 199d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,172 | +$25 +2.1% | 2 |
| 199d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | +$18 +1.5% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on April 8?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 73,000 means the market gives it about 0%.