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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 63,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 64,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $8,748 | +$749 +8.6% | 3 |
| 83d |  Facaie2 fills | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,985 | +$15 +0.3% | 2 |
| 83d | Mizukaze | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,822 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 83d | Mizukaze | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,566 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 83d | Navigator77 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$31 +0.6% | 2 |
| 83d | Navigator773 fills | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$49 +0.8% | 2 |
| 83d |  upont | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,104 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 83d | upont2 fills | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,776 | +$224 +3.3% | 2 |
| 83d |  Tttyh | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $90,764 | +$91 +0.1% | 2 |
| 83d |  gugu-gaga | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,710 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 83d | Tttyh | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,631 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 83d | anon.1980.1235 fills | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $23,408 | +$306 +1.3% | 2 |
| 83d | Facaie2 fills | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,920 | +$80 +2.0% | 2 |
| 83d |  walnascar | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,450 | +$50 +2.1% | 2 |
| 83d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $1,791 | −$1,791 −100% | 5 |
| 83d | ponzisniper | ↓ 62,000 | SellYes33¢ → 0¢ | $3,182 | +$3,182 +100% | — |
| 83d | Navigator77 | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$18 +0.9% | 2 |
| 83d | onlyhit | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,188 | +$22 +1.0% | 2 |
| 83d | Doomster | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,396 | +$55 +1.0% | 2 |
| 83d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,078 | +$88 +1.7% | 2 |
| 83d | jaimebosch3 | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on August 1?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 63,000 means the market gives it about 100%.