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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 116.5k | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 118k | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 116k | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 119.5k | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 118.5k | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 119k | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| ↓ 117k | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 120k | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 115.5k | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 433d |  noreasapa | ↓ 116.5k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,132 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 433d | noreasapa | ↑ 118.5k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,220 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 433d | noreasapa | ↑ 118k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,616 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 433d | asdfgo3 fills | ↓ 116.5k | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $33,968 | +$2,042 +6.0% | 2 |
| 433d |  Senatore | ↑ 119k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 433d | asdfgo | ↓ 116k | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,680 | +$112 +4.2% | 2 |
| 433d | Dearest-Aide | ↑ 119.5k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,940 | +$60 +2.0% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on August 16?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 116.5k means the market gives it about 0%.